Bala Azul vs Lorca Deportiva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13 Bala Azul - Lorca Deportiva
Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 33

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Carrasco A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 2, Lopez G. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Ferni ,
  • 90', Navarro A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Bala Azul
14.4%
Draw
24.3%
Lorca Deportiva
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.6% 27% 54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8% 27.3% 53.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bala Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorca Deportiva's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorca Deportiva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bala Azul - Lorca Deportiva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.33
    (4.86)
    3.75
    (3.35)
    1.49
    (1.66)
    9.5%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Recent performances by Bala Azul have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lorca Deportiva is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Lorca Deportiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lorca Deportiva is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bala Azul won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bala Azul won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bala Azul - Lorca Deportiva were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Lorca Deportiva - Bala Azul 2:0
    Latest results of Bala Azul
    27.04.2025 Bala Azul - Santomera 2:1
    20.04.2025 Bala Azul - UCAM Murcia B 0:1
    13.04.2025 Real Murcia B - Bala Azul 1:1
    06.04.2025 Bala Azul - Cartagena B 2:0
    Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2