Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Carrasco A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 0 - 2, Lopez G. ⚽,
- 71', 1 - 2, Ferni ⚽,
- 90', Navarro A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Bala Azul 14.4% | Draw 24.3% | Lorca Deportiva 61.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bala Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorca Deportiva's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorca Deportiva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bala Azul - Lorca Deportiva Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.33 ↑ (4.86) |
3.75 ↑ (3.35) |
1.49 ↓ (1.66) |
9.5% (10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Recent performances by Bala Azul have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lorca Deportiva is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Lorca Deportiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lorca Deportiva is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bala Azul won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Bala Azul won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Bala Azul won against Lorca Deportiva?
Bala Azul has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorca Deportiva won against Bala Azul?
Lorca Deportiva has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bala Azul - Lorca Deportiva were as follows:
21.12.2024
Lorca Deportiva
-
Bala Azul
2:0
Latest results of Bala Azul
Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ciudad Cieza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Real Murcia B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
3 | Yeclano B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Aguilas FC B | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
5 | Olimpico de Totana | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Santa Cruz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
7 | Bala Azul | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
8 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Molinense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Caravaca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Mazarron CF | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Pulpileno | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
13 | UCAM Murcia B | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
14 | Minerva | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
15 | Deportivo Maritimo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
16 | EG El Palmar CF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Muleno | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
18 | Santomera | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )
Relegation