Lorenzo Carboni vs Niels McDonald – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
55

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Carboni
57.9%
Niels McDonald
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Niels McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niels McDonald than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Lorenzo Carboni - Niels McDonald Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.56)

    2.21
    (2.22)
    7.6%
    (9.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Carboni is ranked ATP: 470. McDonald is ranked ATP: 1017.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Carboni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Carboni is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
    Latest results of Niels McDonald