Lorenzo Giustino vs Daniel Merida Aguilar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Giustino L. retired
10/02/2026 at 09:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
42
Double Faults
00
1st serve percentage
66%69%
1st serve points won
76% (22/29)80% (16/20)
2nd serve points won
53% (8/15)89% (8/9)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)0% (0/0)
1st return points won
20% (4/20)41% (12/29)
2nd return points won
11% (1/9)47% (7/15)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)50% (2/4)
Winners
1311
Unforced errors
1910
Net points won
50% (3/6)100% (2/2)
Service Points Won
58% (25/43)83% (24/29)
Return Points Won
17% (5/29)42% (18/43)
Total Points Won
42% (30/72)58% (42/72)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (4/6)100% (6/6)
Return games won
0% (0/6)33% (2/6)
Total games won
33% (4/12)67% (8/12)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Giustino
28.3%
Daniel Merida Aguilar
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 54.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Giustino's form might have worsened.
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Merida Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+17.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-17.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lorenzo Giustino - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.3
    (2.35)

    1.31
    (1.53)
    6.8%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Giustino - Daniel Merida Aguilar?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Giustino is ranked ATP: 209. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 183.
    • Recent performances by Giustino have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Merida Aguilar is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Giustino
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Maestrelli F. (1)Callejon H. S. (Q)2 : 1
    2Gentzsch T. (SE)Willwerth B. (JR)2 : 1
    3Rincon D.Samuel T.0 : 2
    4Giustino L. (RET.)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 1
    5Travaglia S. (4)Shelbayh A. (Q)2 : 1
    6Barton H. (LL)Peniston R.2 : 1
    7Gueymard Wayenburg S.Hassan B.0 : 2
    8Moro Canas A. (WC)Loffhagen G. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Llamas Ruiz P. (7)Barranco Cosano J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Berrettini J. (WC)Vasami J. (JR)2 : 0
    11Dodig M.Hussey G. (Q)0 : 2
    12Almazan Valiente I. (Q)Mikrut L. (3)1 : 2
    13Harris L. (6)Piraino G. (Q)2 : 0
    14Damas M. (Q)Pereira T. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Martin Tiffon P. (Alt)Brancaccio R. (SE)2 : 0
    16Huesler M.Ofner S. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Maestrelli F. (1)Gentzsch T.0 : 2
    2Samuel T.Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    3Travaglia S. (4)Barton H.2 : 0
    4Hassan B.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    5Llamas Ruiz P. (7)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    6Hussey G.Mikrut L. (3)1 : 2
    7Harris L. (6)Damas M.2 : 1
    8Martin Tiffon P.Huesler M.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Gentzsch T.Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    2Travaglia S. (4)Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    3Llamas Ruiz P. (7)Mikrut L. (3)2 : 1
    4Harris L. (6)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Merida Aguilar D. (5)Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P. (7)Harris L. (6)0 : 2

    Final
    1Moro Canas A.Harris L. (6)0 : 2