Matteo Berrettini vs Lorenzo Musetti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
10/04/2025 at 10:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
68%74%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (31/46)73% (27/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
32% (7/22)77% (10/13)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
27% (10/37)33% (15/46)
2nd Return Points Won
23% (3/13)68% (15/22)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)30% (3/10)
Winners
189
Unforced Errors
4411
Net Points Won
64% (7/11)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
56% (38/68)74% (37/50)
Return Points Won
26% (13/50)44% (30/68)
Total Points Won
43% (51/118)57% (67/118)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Matteo Berrettini
54.3%
Lorenzo Musetti
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Berrettini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Musetti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Matteo Berrettini - Lorenzo Musetti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.59)

    2.07
    (2.21)
    5.5%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Berrettini - Lorenzo Musetti?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 22 - 57.9%). Musetti will win (votes: 16 - 42.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 42.2%73.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Musetti (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 Games - Berrettini (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Musetti (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Berrettini is ranked ATP: 34. Musetti is ranked ATP: 16.
    • Right away both players are in a satisfying form.
    • Berrettini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Berrettini won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Berrettini - Lorenzo Musetti were as follows:
    15.06.2024 Lorenzo Musetti - Matteo Berrettini 0:2
    23.10.2022 Lorenzo Musetti - Matteo Berrettini 2:0
    Latest results of Matteo Berrettini
    Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)
    11Mensik J.Marozsan F.
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Tabilo A.
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)
    5Musetti L. (4)TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Medvedev D. (7)TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2