Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
07/04/2025 at 09:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
65%64%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (24/43)66% (29/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (9/23)36% (9/25)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)57% (4/7)
1st Return Points Won
34% (15/44)44% (19/43)
2nd Return Points Won
64% (16/25)61% (14/23)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)45% (5/11)
Winners
1219
Unforced Errors
2935
Net Points Won
29% (2/7)78% (7/9)
Service Points Won
50% (33/66)55% (38/69)
Return Points Won
45% (31/69)50% (33/66)
Total Points Won
47% (64/135)53% (71/135)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (5/10)70% (7/10)
Return Games Won
30% (3/10)50% (5/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
37.4%
Matteo Berrettini
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 64.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.5)

    1.52
    (1.53)
    5.2%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Navone (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Berrettini (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • Users Predictions: Matteo Berrettini will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 61. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 27.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Navone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Berrettini will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Navone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini were as follows:
    06.04.2024 Matteo Berrettini - Mariano Navone 2:1
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Latest results of Matteo Berrettini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.2 : 0
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.0 : 2
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Lehecka J. (11)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Hurkacz H.2 : 1
    4Blockx A.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Berrettini M.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    6Bergs Z.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Ruud C. (RET.) (9)1 : 0
    8Machac T.Sinner J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bublik A. (8)2 : 0
    2Vacherot V.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 1
    3Fonseca J.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Vacherot V.2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2