Ajaccio vs Lorient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2
Football French Ligue 2 Ajaccio - Lorient
Result
2:1
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 33
  • Referee: Thual O. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.12
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
619
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
06
Passes
71% (215/302)86% (517/599)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.98
Total shots
619
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
112
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
06
Touches in opposition box
920
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
118
Passes
71% (215/302)86% (517/599)
Long passes
37% (27/73)29% (10/34)
Passes in final third
54% (25/46)70% (117/166)
Crosses
20% (1/5)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.95
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
811
Tackles
63% (12/19)63% (5/8)
Duels won
4951
Clearances
256
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.981.07
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Anziani J. ⚽, Strata T. (A),
  • 42', Mendy F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Tosin A. ↓, Kroupi E. J. ↑,
  • 63', Ponceau J. ↓, Pagis P. ↑,
  • 63', Makengo J. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
  • 63', Soumano S. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
  • 66', Huard M. ↓, Ayessa J. ↑,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Toure B. ⚽, Kouassi A. (A),
  • 70', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
  • 71', Toure B. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
  • 72', Mangani T. ↓, Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↑,
  • 80', Kalulu G. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Pagis P. ⚽, Bamba M. (A),
  • 89', Ayessa J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bamba M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mw3f7hsm

Chances of winning


Ajaccio
15.8%		Draw
23.1%		Lorient
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.6% 23.1% 61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3% 22.6% 62.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
    •

    Ajaccio - Lorient Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.94 ↑
    (5.93)    		 4.07 ↑
    (4)    		 1.54 ↑
    (1.51)    		 6.5%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Lorient?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Lorient will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 40% – 93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ajaccio (votes: 1 - 50%). Lorient (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
    • Lorient is Qualified for Ligue 1
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajaccio won 1.
    • In recent matches, Ajaccio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lorient is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Lorient is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Junior Pereira da Silva E. (Injury) Soumano M. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury) Youssouf M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Igor Silva (Yellow Cards) Katseris P. (Hip Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ajaccio won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ajaccio won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Lorient were as follows:
    27.09.2024 Lorient - Ajaccio 3:0
    19.02.2023 Lorient - Ajaccio 3:0
    04.09.2022 Ajaccio - Lorient 0:1
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    25.04.2025 Annecy - Ajaccio 2:0 ✺
    18.04.2025 Ajaccio - Pau 1:1 ✺
    11.04.2025 Troyes - Ajaccio 0:0 ✺
    04.04.2025 Ajaccio - Amiens 2:1 ✺
    28.03.2025 Martigues - Ajaccio 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Lorient
    26.04.2025 Lorient - Caen 4:0 ✺
    21.04.2025 Annecy - Lorient 0:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Guingamp - Lorient 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Lorient - Pau 5:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Grenoble - Lorient 1:2 ✺
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    © Copyright 2025 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy