Result
2:1
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 33
- Referee: Thual O. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (215/302) | 86% (517/599) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (215/302) | 86% (517/599) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (27/73) | 29% (10/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (25/46) | 70% (117/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Anziani J. ⚽, Strata T. (A),
- 42', Mendy F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Tosin A. ↓, Kroupi E. J. ↑,
- 63', Ponceau J. ↓, Pagis P. ↑,
- 63', Makengo J. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
- 63', Soumano S. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
- 66', Huard M. ↓, Ayessa J. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 0, Toure B. ⚽, Kouassi A. (A),
- 70', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
- 71', Toure B. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 72', Mangani T. ↓, Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↑,
- 80', Kalulu G. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 1, Pagis P. ⚽, Bamba M. (A),
- 89', Ayessa J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Bamba M. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mw3f7hsm
Chances of winning
Ajaccio
15.8% | Draw
23.1% | Lorient
61.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ajaccio - Lorient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.94 ↑
(5.93) |
4.07 ↑
(4) |
1.54 ↑
(1.51) |
6.5%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Lorient?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Lorient will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ajaccio (votes: 1 - 50%). Lorient (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- Lorient is Qualified for Ligue 1
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajaccio won 1.
- In recent matches, Ajaccio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lorient is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Lorient is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Ajaccio: Junior Pereira da Silva E.
(Injury)
Soumano M.
(Injury)
Touzghar Y.
(Arm Injury)
Youssouf M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N.
(Ankle Injury)
Fadiga B.
(Ankle Injury)
Igor Silva
(Yellow Cards)
Katseris P.
(Hip Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ajaccio won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ajaccio won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Lorient?
Ajaccio has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Ajaccio?
Lorient has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Lorient were as follows:
27.09.2024
Lorient
-
Ajaccio
3:0
19.02.2023
Lorient
-
Ajaccio
3:0
04.09.2022
Ajaccio
-
Lorient
0:1
Latest results of Ajaccio
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26:14 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Red Star | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 27 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 26 |
| 4 | Montpellier | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Pau FC | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 | Reims | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26:20 | 6 | 22 |
| 7 | Le Mans | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 20 |
| 9 | Guingamp | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | Grenoble | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Clermont | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Annecy | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
| 13 | Rodez | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 16 |
| 14 | Amiens | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 | Nancy | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 | Laval | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 | Bastia | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6:17 | -11 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
