Alvarado vs Los Andes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata).

Primera Nacional - Round 32

Match Stats


Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
14	9
Shots on target
7	4
Corner Kicks
4	6
Yellow Cards
3	2
Total shots
14	9
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
7	5
Corner Kicks
4	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Marco F. (Own goal),
17', Bolzicco T. 🟨,
19', 🟨,
32', Segalerba G. 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diaz E. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
62', Susvielles J. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
62', Bolzicco T. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
66', Gobetto J. ↓, Bolivar A. ↑,
66', Marco F. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
75', Mansilla M. 🟨,
79', Gonzalez M. ↓, Villarreal F. ↑,
83', Aleo A. ↓, Becker D. ↑,

Chances of winning

Alvarado
44.6%

Draw
32.9%

Los Andes
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

32.8%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

33.3%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alvarado's performance.

Los Andes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Andes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvarado that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Andes than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Andes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alvarado - Los Andes Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.59)	3.1 ↑ (2.78)	4.75 ↑ (2.85)	-1.8% (9.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

What is the prediction for Alvarado - Los Andes?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Los Andes will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).
Recent form of Alvarado has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Los Andes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alvarado won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Los Andes?

Alvarado has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Los Andes won against Alvarado?

Los Andes has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - Los Andes were as follows:

06.06.2025 Los Andes - Alvarado 1:0

Latest results of Alvarado

14.09.2025 Deportivo Madryn - Alvarado 1:0 ✺

08.09.2025 Alvarado - Deportivo Maipú 0:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Gimnasia y Tiro - Alvarado 3:0 ✺

28.08.2025 Quilmes - Alvarado 0:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Alvarado - Tristán Suárez 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Los Andes

14.09.2025 Los Andes - Club Almagro 1:0 ✺

07.09.2025 Deportivo Madryn - Los Andes 1:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Los Andes - San Miguel 0:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Deportivo Maipú - Los Andes 1:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Los Andes - Quilmes 1:0 ✺

Argentinian Primera Nacional Table

2025

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Madryn ✔	34	16	12	6	45:28	17	60
2	Atletico Atlanta ✔	34	14	13	7	31:28	3	55
3	Tristan Suarez ✔	34	12	16	6	33:23	10	52
4	Gimnasia y Tiro ✔	34	13	12	9	34:23	11	51
5	San Miguel ✔	34	12	14	8	32:28	4	50
6	San Martin T. ✔	34	12	13	9	32:29	3	49
7	Deportivo Maipu ✔	34	12	12	10	34:30	4	48
8	Patronato ✔	34	12	12	10	31:28	3	48
9	Colegiales	34	13	8	13	26:26	0	47
10	Racing Cordoba	34	10	11	13	38:45	-7	41
11	Ferro	34	10	11	13	24:33	-9	41
12	Los Andes	33	10	10	13	28:28	0	40
13	Club A. Guemes	34	8	16	10	28:32	-4	40
14	Quilmes	34	8	14	12	30:32	-2	38
15	All Boys	33	7	17	9	23:25	-2	38
16	Almagro	34	7	14	13	24:31	-7	35
17	Arsenal Sarandi ✔	34	8	10	16	38:47	-9	34
18	Alvarado ✔	34	6	15	13	18:33	-15	33

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gimnasia Mendoza	34	17	12	5	35:18	17	63
2	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	34	16	12	6	35:22	13	60
3	CA Estudiantes	34	17	8	9	41:22	19	59
4	Deportivo Moron	34	15	13	6	36:19	17	58
5	Gimnasia Jujuy ✔	34	15	12	7	36:20	16	57
6	Temperley	34	14	13	7	30:22	8	55
7	Agropecuario	34	15	9	10	43:34	9	54
8	Chaco For Ever	34	15	8	11	34:26	8	53
9	Chacarita Juniors	34	12	13	9	37:29	8	49
10	Def. de Belgrano	34	12	12	10	30:26	4	48
11	Nueva Chicago	34	10	11	13	27:33	-6	41
12	San Telmo	34	10	11	13	31:42	-11	41
13	CA Mitre	34	10	10	14	28:31	-3	40
14	Almirante Brown	34	8	12	14	28:38	-10	36
15	Central Norte	34	10	6	18	27:41	-14	36
16	Colon Santa Fe	34	9	5	20	22:39	-17	32
17	Talleres (R.E) ✔	34	6	5	23	17:40	-23	23
18	Defensores Unidos ✔	34	3	12	19	17:52	-35	21

      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Deportivo Madryn is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Super final )
Atletico Atlanta is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Tristan Suarez is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Gimnasia y Tiro is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Martin T. is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Deportivo Maipu is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Patronato is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Arsenal Sarandi is Relegated to
Alvarado is Relegated to
Gimnasia Jujuy is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
Defensores Unidos is Relegated to