Los Angeles Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
04/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaRDS 2, RDS App, TSN 1, TSN 3
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.52
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
90% (481/532)90% (349/387)
Yellow Cards
16
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.52
xG on target (xGOT)
2.440.23
Total shots
126
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
2027
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
177
Passes
90% (481/532)90% (349/387)
Long passes
67% (20/30)57% (13/23)
Passes in final third
78% (87/111)78% (91/116)
Crosses
43% (3/7)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.73
Throw-ins
2115
Fouls
717
Tackles
61% (11/18)85% (11/13)
Duels won
4228
Clearances
1713
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.232.44
Goals prevented
0.23-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Matheus Nascimento ,
  • 18', Matheus Nascimento 🟨,
  • 35', Laborda M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Laborda M. , Nelson J. ,
  • 55', Nelson J. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Paintsil J. , Reus M. (A), Gabriel Pec (A2)
  • 72', Ocampo E. 🟨,
  • 74', Veselinovic R. 🟨,
  • 77', 3 - 0, Paintsil J. (Pen),
  • 78', Ngando J. , Utvik B. ,
  • 78', Yamane M. , Cuevas M. ,
  • 78', Aude J. , Nelson J. ,
  • 78', Matheus Nascimento , Sanabria L. ,
  • 79', Rios D. , Pierre N. ,
  • 86', Utvik B. 🟨,
  • 87', Reus M. , Ramirez C. ,
  • 90', Fagundez D. , Parente I. ,
  • 90', Vite P. , Castro J. ,
  • 90', Sabbi E. , Kreilach D. ,
  • 90+2', Nelson J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Los Angeles Galaxy
40.6%
Draw
26.8%
Vancouver Whitecaps
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 25.3% 52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9% 25.1% 53.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles Galaxy's performance.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vancouver Whitecaps might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles Galaxy that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (+20.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vancouver Whitecaps could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (4.27)
    3.55
    (3.73)
    2.92
    (1.79)
    4.9%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps?
  • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 32 - 69.6%). Vancouver will win (votes: 11 - 23.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 56.3%82.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Vancouver (2.18) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH 0 - LA Galaxy (1.66) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Vancouver (2.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Vancouver (3.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Vancouver (3.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Vancouver (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Vancouver (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Vancouver (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Vancouver (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Vancouver (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/E Goals - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Los Angeles Galaxy will win (20 of 27 users predict this - 74.07%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 41 high ROI users predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 22 - 53.7%). Vancouver (votes: 19 - 46.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ahmed A. (Ankle Injury) Gauld R. (Knee Injury) Priso-Mbongue R. (Yellow Cards) White B. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in LA Galaxy: Berry M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vancouver: Bovalina G. (Illness) Cubas A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:34. (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, LA Galaxy won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles Galaxy 2:1
    21.09.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps 4:2
    13.04.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:3
    30.07.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps 1:2
    15.07.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles Galaxy 4:2
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    Latest results of Vancouver Whitecaps
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC651014:01416
    2Vancouver Whitecaps650117:41315
    3San Jose Earthquakes650110:1915
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6FC Dallas632114:9511
    7San Diego FC632113:8511
    8Colorado Rapids630313:1039
    9Minnesota United62226:12-68
    10Houston Dynamo52038:10-26
    11Austin FC61327:9-26
    12Los Angeles Galaxy61238:10-25
    13St. Louis City61235:8-35
    14Portland Timbers61149:15-64
    15Sporting Kansas City61146:14-84


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC641113:31013
    2New York City632114:7711
    3Charlotte632112:7511
    4Inter Miami632111:10111
    5Chicago Fire63128:5310
    6Toronto FC63129:10-110
    7New York Red Bulls63129:13-410
    8DC United62134:8-47
    9New England Revolution520311:926
    10FC Cincinnati62049:15-66
    11Columbus Crew61238:9-15
    12Atlanta Utd61146:11-54
    13CF Montreal61057:17-103
    14Orlando City61055:23-183
    15Philadelphia Union60064:11-70

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)