Los Angeles Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
04/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaRDS 2, RDS App, TSN 1, TSN 3
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.52
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
90% (481/532)90% (349/387)
Yellow Cards
16
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.52
xG on target (xGOT)
2.440.23
Total shots
126
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
2027
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
177
Passes
90% (481/532)90% (349/387)
Long passes
67% (20/30)57% (13/23)
Passes in final third
78% (87/111)78% (91/116)
Crosses
43% (3/7)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.73
Throw-ins
2115
Fouls
717
Tackles
61% (11/18)85% (11/13)
Duels won
4228
Clearances
1713
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.232.44
Goals prevented
0.23-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Matheus Nascimento ,
  • 18', Matheus Nascimento 🟨,
  • 35', Laborda M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Laborda M. , Nelson J. ,
  • 55', Nelson J. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Paintsil J. , Reus M. (A), Gabriel Pec (A2)
  • 72', Ocampo E. 🟨,
  • 74', Veselinovic R. 🟨,
  • 77', 3 - 0, Paintsil J. (Pen),
  • 78', Ngando J. , Utvik B. ,
  • 78', Yamane M. , Cuevas M. ,
  • 78', Aude J. , Nelson J. ,
  • 78', Matheus Nascimento , Sanabria L. ,
  • 79', Rios D. , Pierre N. ,
  • 86', Utvik B. 🟨,
  • 87', Reus M. , Ramirez C. ,
  • 90', Fagundez D. , Parente I. ,
  • 90', Vite P. , Castro J. ,
  • 90', Sabbi E. , Kreilach D. ,
  • 90+2', Nelson J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Los Angeles Galaxy
40.6%
Draw
26.8%
Vancouver Whitecaps
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 25.3% 52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9% 25.1% 53.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles Galaxy's performance.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vancouver Whitecaps might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles Galaxy that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (+20.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vancouver Whitecaps could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (4.27)
    3.55
    (3.73)
    2.92
    (1.79)
    4.9%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps?
  • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 32 - 69.6%). Vancouver will win (votes: 11 - 23.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 56.3%82.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Vancouver (2.18) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH 0 - LA Galaxy (1.66) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Vancouver (2.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Vancouver (3.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Vancouver (3.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Vancouver (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Vancouver (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Vancouver (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Vancouver (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Vancouver (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/E Goals - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Los Angeles Galaxy will win (20 of 27 users predict this - 74.07%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 41 high ROI users predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 22 - 53.7%). Vancouver (votes: 19 - 46.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ahmed A. (Ankle Injury) Gauld R. (Knee Injury) Priso-Mbongue R. (Yellow Cards) White B. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in LA Galaxy: Berry M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vancouver: Bovalina G. (Illness) Cubas A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:34. (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, LA Galaxy won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles Galaxy 2:1
    21.09.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps 4:2
    13.04.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:3
    30.07.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps 1:2
    15.07.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles Galaxy 4:2
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    Latest results of Vancouver Whitecaps
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC11005:053
    2San Jose Earthquakes11003:033
    3Los Angeles FC11003:033
    4Seattle Sounders11002:023
    5FC Dallas11003:213
    6Portland Timbers11003:213
    7Houston Dynamo11002:113
    8Vancouver Whitecaps11001:013
    9Minnesota United10102:201
    10Austin FC10102:201
    11Los Angeles Galaxy10101:101
    12St. Louis City10101:101
    13Real Salt Lake10010:1-10
    14Colorado Rapids10010:2-20
    15Sporting Kansas City10010:3-30


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC11004:133
    2FC Cincinnati11002:023
    3New York Red Bulls11002:113
    4DC United11001:013
    5New York City10101:101
    6Charlotte10101:101
    7Toronto FC10012:3-10
    8Columbus Crew10012:3-10
    9Chicago Fire10011:2-10
    10Orlando City10011:2-10
    11Philadelphia Union10010:1-10
    12Atlanta Utd10010:2-20
    13New England Revolution10011:4-30
    14Inter Miami10010:3-30
    15CF Montreal10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)