Los Angeles Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, CA).

MLS
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	RDS 2, RDS App, TSN 1, TSN 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.50	0.52
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
8	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	7
Passes
90% (481/532)	90% (349/387)
Yellow Cards
1	6
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50	0.52
xG on target (xGOT)
2.44	0.23
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
8	1
Shots off target
1	3
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
4	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
20	27
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
17	7
Passes
90% (481/532)	90% (349/387)
Long passes
67% (20/30)	57% (13/23)
Passes in final third
78% (87/111)	78% (91/116)
Crosses
43% (3/7)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.11	0.73
Throw-ins
21	15
Fouls
7	17
Tackles
61% (11/18)	85% (11/13)
Duels won
42	28
Clearances
17	13
Interceptions
9	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.23	2.44
Goals prevented
0.23	-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Matheus Nascimento ⚽,
18', Matheus Nascimento 🟨,
35', Laborda M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Laborda M. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
55', Nelson J. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Paintsil J. ⚽, Reus M. (A), Gabriel Pec (A2)
72', Ocampo E. 🟨,
74', Veselinovic R. 🟨,
77', 3 - 0, Paintsil J. (Pen),
78', Ngando J. ↓, Utvik B. ↑,
78', Yamane M. ↓, Cuevas M. ↑,
78', Aude J. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
78', Matheus Nascimento ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
79', Rios D. ↓, Pierre N. ↑,
86', Utvik B. 🟨,
87', Reus M. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
90', Fagundez D. ↓, Parente I. ↑,
90', Vite P. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
90', Sabbi E. ↓, Kreilach D. ↑,
90+2', Nelson J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Los Angeles Galaxy
40.6%

Draw
26.8%

Vancouver Whitecaps
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

25.3%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

25.1%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles Galaxy's performance.

Vancouver Whitecaps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vancouver Whitecaps might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles Galaxy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vancouver Whitecaps could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (4.27)	3.55 ↓ (3.73)	2.92 ↑ (1.79)	4.9% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps?

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 32 - 69.6%). Vancouver will win (votes: 11 - 23.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 56.3% – 82.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Los Angeles Galaxy will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ahmed A. (Ankle Injury) Gauld R. (Knee Injury) Priso-Mbongue R. (Yellow Cards) White B. (International duty)
There are questionable in LA Galaxy: Berry M. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Vancouver: Bovalina G. (Illness) Cubas A. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:34. (average 1.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, LA Galaxy won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.9:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles Galaxy won against Vancouver Whitecaps?

Los Angeles Galaxy has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vancouver Whitecaps won against Los Angeles Galaxy?

Vancouver Whitecaps has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps were as follows:

02.03.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles Galaxy 2:1

21.09.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps 4:2

13.04.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:3

30.07.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps 1:2

15.07.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles Galaxy 4:2

Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy

25.06.2025 Colorado Rapids - Los Angeles Galaxy 2:0 ✺

14.06.2025 St. Louis City - Los Angeles Galaxy 3:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - Real Salt Lake 2:0 ✺

28.05.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 0:1 ✺

24.05.2025 San Diego - Los Angeles Galaxy 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Vancouver Whitecaps

29.06.2025 Los Angeles - Vancouver Whitecaps 0:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps - San Diego 3:5 ✺

14.06.2025 Columbus Crew - Vancouver Whitecaps 2:1 ✺

08.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps - Seattle Sounders 3:0 ✺

01.06.2025 Cruz Azul - Vancouver Whitecaps 5:0 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC ✔	32	17	6	9	56:39	17	57
2	Vancouver Whitecaps ✔	31	16	9	6	59:34	25	57
3	Minnesota United ✔	32	15	10	7	52:37	15	55
4	Los Angeles FC ✔	30	15	8	7	60:37	23	53
5	Seattle Sounders	31	12	10	9	54:47	7	46
6	Austin FC	31	12	8	11	34:40	-6	44
7	Portland Timbers	32	11	11	10	41:43	-2	44
8	Colorado Rapids	32	11	7	14	42:53	-11	40
9	San Jose Earthquakes	32	10	8	14	57:58	-1	38
10	FC Dallas	31	9	11	11	47:51	-4	38
11	Real Salt Lake	31	11	4	16	35:46	-11	37
12	Houston Dynamo	32	9	9	14	41:52	-11	36
13	St. Louis City	32	7	7	18	39:55	-16	28
14	Sporting Kansas City	32	7	6	19	46:67	-21	27
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	31	5	9	17	41:62	-21	24

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union ✔	32	19	6	7	56:33	23	63
2	FC Cincinnati ✔	31	18	4	9	47:39	8	58
3	New York City ✔	32	17	5	10	49:41	8	56
4	Inter Miami ✔	30	16	8	6	65:47	18	56
5	Charlotte ✔	32	17	2	13	52:46	6	53
6	Nashville SC	32	16	5	11	55:39	16	53
7	Orlando City	30	14	9	7	58:43	15	51
8	Columbus Crew	32	13	11	8	51:49	2	50
9	Chicago Fire	31	14	6	11	59:53	6	48
10	New York Red Bulls	32	12	7	13	47:43	4	43
11	New England Revolution	32	9	8	15	41:45	-4	35
12	Toronto FC	31	5	13	13	31:38	-7	28
13	CF Montreal	32	6	9	17	33:56	-23	27
14	Atlanta Utd	31	5	12	14	37:57	-20	27
15	DC United	32	5	10	17	29:64	-35	25

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)