Result
3:4 penalties
20/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (328/411) | 86% (504/583) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (328/411) | 86% (504/583) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (19/43) | 46% (26/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (46/83) | 79% (139/177) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 57% (8/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 52% (13/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.76 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 1 - 0, Vanney D. ⚽,
- 9', 1 - 1, Terry J. ⚽, Ponciano E. (A),
- 12', Walters K. 🟨,
- 21', Rindov C. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 2, Mihalic T. ⚽, Evans M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Karani S. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 2, Sullivan N. ⚽,
- 63', 3 - 2, Miller H. ⚽, Vanney D. (A),
- 63', Holm O. T. ↓, Moyado B. ↑,
- 72', Tsakiris M. ↓, Kocevski J. ↑,
- 75', Aiyenero M. ↓, Lane J. ↑,
- 78', Pepe 🟨,
- 81', Terry J. ↓, Aguilar A. ↑,
- 81', Mihalic T. ↓, Resich D. ↑,
- 83', Vanney D. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
- 89', Sullivan N. ↓, Saribekyan L. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 3, Guerra D. ⚽, Resich D. (A), Ponciano E. (A2)
- Penalties (1 - 3)
- 1, Musto T. (Pen),
- 1, Guerra D. (Pen),
- 2, Pepe (Pen),
- 2, Evans M. (Pen),
- 3, Kocevski J. (Pen),
- 3, Nava S. (Pen),
- 4, Miller H. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Ventura County
56.5% | Draw
20.3% | Los Angeles II
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Los Angeles II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles II than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Ventura County - Los Angeles II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.75) |
4.57 ↑
(3.98) |
3.99 ↑
(3.64) |
7.8%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Ventura County - Los Angeles II?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Ventura County has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ventura County is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ventura County won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ventura County won against Los Angeles II?
Ventura County has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles II won against Ventura County?
Los Angeles II has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ventura County - Los Angeles II were as follows:
09.05.2025
Ventura County
-
Los Angeles II
2:1
14.03.2025
Los Angeles II
-
Ventura County
3:1
11.08.2024
Ventura County
-
Los Angeles II
1:2
14.07.2024
Los Angeles II
-
Ventura County
1:2
14.04.2024
Los Angeles II
-
Ventura County
2:1
Latest results of Ventura County
Latest results of Los Angeles II
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Ventura County (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs (4) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Cincinnati 2 (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga (4) | Huntsville (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Carolina Core (8) | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II (3) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Town FC (2) | North Texas (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Minnesota 2 (5) | |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Huntsville (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Chicago Fire II (6) | |
| 4 | Town FC (2) | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | |
