Los Angeles Sparks vs Las Vegas Aces – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Los Angeles Sparks - Las Vegas Aces
Result
74:89
29/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6978
Field Goals Made
2636
Field Goals %
37.7%46.2%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4546
2-Point Field Goals Made
2227
2-Point Field Goals %
48.9%58.7%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2432
3-Point Field Goals Made
49
3-Point Field Goals %
16.7%28.1%
Free Throws Attempted
198
Free Throws Made
188
Free Throws %
94.7%100%
Offensive Rebounds
812
Defensive Rebounds
2624
Total Rebounds
3436
Assists
1625
Blocks
26
Turnovers
2014
Steals
513
Personal Fouls
1717

Chances of winning


Los Angeles Sparks
43.8%
Las Vegas Aces
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 47.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles Sparks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Las Vegas Aces has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Sparks than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Angeles Sparks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Aces than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Las Vegas Aces, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Los Angeles Sparks - Las Vegas Aces Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (1.92)

    1.7
    (1.82)
    3.4%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 175.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Los Angeles Sparks - Las Vegas Aces?
  • Users Predictions: Los Angeles Sparks will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Los Angeles Sparks will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:89.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 3.
    • Los Angeles has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Las Vegas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Las Vegas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1558:1782. (average 77.9:89.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 705:793. (average 78.3:88.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Sparks - Las Vegas Aces were as follows:
    11.06.2025 Las Vegas Aces - Los Angeles Sparks 89:97
    30.05.2025 Las Vegas Aces - Los Angeles Sparks 96:81
    18.08.2024 Las Vegas Aces - Los Angeles Sparks 87:71
    05.07.2024 Los Angeles Sparks - Las Vegas Aces 98:93
    09.06.2024 Los Angeles Sparks - Las Vegas Aces 96:92
    Latest results of Los Angeles Sparks
    Latest results of Las Vegas Aces
    WNBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W292452529:21860.828
    2Phoenix Mercury W2716112251:21980.593
    3Seattle Storm W2816122284:22020.571
    4Golden State Valkyries W2714132109:20960.519
    5Las Vegas Aces W2814142262:23320.500
    6Los Angeles Sparks W2712152308:23770.444
    7Dallas Wings W298212380:25100.276


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1New York Liberty W2717102347:21940.630
    2Atlanta Dream W2817112353:22080.607
    3Indiana Fever W2816122389:22690.571
    4Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    5Chicago Sky W277202071:23530.259
    6Connecticut Sun W265211943:22630.192


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W292452529:21860.828
    2New York Liberty W2717102347:21940.630
    3Atlanta Dream W2817112353:22080.607
    4Phoenix Mercury W2716112251:21980.593
    5Indiana Fever W2816122389:22690.571
    6Seattle Storm W2816122284:22020.571
    7Golden State Valkyries W2714132109:20960.519
    8Las Vegas Aces W2814142262:23320.500
    9Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    10Los Angeles Sparks W2712152308:23770.444
    11Dallas Wings W298212380:25100.276
    12Chicago Sky W277202071:23530.259
    13Connecticut Sun W265211943:22630.192

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