Result
0:3
27/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (402/478) | 89% (536/601) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (402/478) | 89% (536/601) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (28/51) | 50% (16/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (62/94) | 81% (151/186) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (10/25) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.98 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', Jeong S. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Bouanga D. ⚽,
- 45+4', 0 - 2, Son Heung-Min ⚽, Smolyakov A. (A), Choiniere M. (A2)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lloris H. ↓, Hasal T. ↑,
- 51', Segura E. 🟨,
- 58', Durkin C. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
- 58', Wallem C. ↓, Totland T. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 3, Son Heung-Min ⚽, Smolyakov A. (A),
- 65', Jeong S. ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
- 65', McSorley B. ↓, Pompeu C. ↑,
- 66', Pompeu C. 🟨,
- 73', Lowen E. 🟨,
- 74', Fall F. ↓, Hiebert K. ↑,
- 78', Moran A. ↓, Amaya F. ↑,
- 78', Smolyakov A. ↓, Hollingshead R. ↑,
- 87', Bouanga D. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
- 87', Segura E. ↓, Nielsen K. ↑,
- 90', Baumgartl T. 🟨,
- 90+10', Joao Klauss 🟨,
Chances of winning
St. Louis City
26.5% | Draw
21.4% | Los Angeles
52% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
St. Louis City - Los Angeles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.57 ↑
(3.55) |
4.41 ↑
(3.98) |
1.85 ↓
(1.87) |
4.7%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Los Angeles?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Los Angeles will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Los Angeles (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Los Angeles is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- St. Louis City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Los Angeles is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Los Angeles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Los Angeles is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R.
(Hip Injury)
Fall F.
(Illness)
Jeong S.
(Injury)
Kessler H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Teuchert C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wentzel M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Los Angeles: Dellavalle L.
(Knee Injury)
Igor Jesus
(Knee Injury)
Long A.
(Leg Injury)
Tillman T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Los Angeles: Ordaz N.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against Los Angeles?
St. Louis City has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles won against St. Louis City?
Los Angeles has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Los Angeles were as follows:
27.04.2025
Los Angeles
-
St. Louis City
2:2
02.10.2024
Los Angeles
-
St. Louis City
1:0
15.05.2024
St. Louis City
-
Los Angeles
0:2
20.09.2023
St. Louis City
-
Los Angeles
0:0
12.07.2023
Los Angeles
-
St. Louis City
3:0
Latest results of St. Louis City
Latest results of Los Angeles
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
