Result
1:0
10/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 18
- Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (336/402) | 77% (278/363) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (336/402) | 77% (278/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (52/84) | 32% (19/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (103/142) | 58% (54/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Mogollon E. 🟨,
- 21', Montenegro D. 🟨,
- 22', Rengifo H. 🟨,
- 30', Robles A. 🟨,
- 37', Montenegro D. ↓, Moyano A. ↑,
- 38', Moyano A. 🟨,
- 43', Bueno P. 🟨,
- 45+2', Mogollon E. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Bazan N. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Bazan N. 🟨,
- 56', Manzaneda J. ↓, Quiroz A. ↑,
- 65', Rengifo H. ↓, Alvino J. ↑,
- 69', Moyano A. ↓, Choi G. ↑,
- 72', Bueno P. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
- 89', Guivin Tanta J. ↓, Rivero B. ↑,
- 89', Takeuchi O. ↓, Zamalloa F. ↑,
- 89', Torres F. ↓, Santiago G. ↑,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
61% | Draw
22.6% | Los Chankas
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADT Tarma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ADT Tarma - Los Chankas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.44) |
4.19 ↓
(4.51) |
5.67 ↓
(5.89) |
7.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Los Chankas?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Los Chankas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Los Chankas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, ADT is the team to beat.
- There will not play in ADT: Cedron V.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Los Chankas: Quintana A.
(Red Card)
Saravia F.
(Knee Injury)
Velarde C.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in ADT: Perez A.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, ADT won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Los Chankas?
ADT Tarma has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against ADT Tarma?
Los Chankas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Los Chankas were as follows:
04.07.2025
Los Chankas
-
ADT Tarma
1:1
27.07.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Los Chankas
2:1
11.02.2024
Los Chankas
-
ADT Tarma
2:0
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
