Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        04/07/2025 at  16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 18
 
                                                - Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.04 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 33% | 67% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 10 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 72% (137/190) | 80% (300/373) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.04 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.80 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 6 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 8 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 10 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 16 | 22 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 13 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 72% (137/190) | 80% (300/373) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 59% (36/61) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 59% (35/59) | 54% (58/107) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 19% (6/31) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.95 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 23 | 23 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 13 | 11 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 42% (5/12) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 39 | 42 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 44 | 13 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.90 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.10 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
 - 33', 1 - 0, Bueno P. (Pen), 
 - 45+4', Soto J. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 1)
 - 46', Perez A. ↓, Bersano F. ↑, 
 - 53', Moyano A. ↓, Robles A. ↑, 
 - 57', Bueno P. ↓, Camargo I. ↑, 
 - 60', Da Luz M. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑, 
 - 64', Manzaneda J. 🟨, 
 - 80', Torres F. ↓, Mifflin L. ↑, 
 - 81', Manzaneda J. ↓, Palomino J. ↑, 
 - 81', Soto J. ↓, Pinto O. ↑, 
 - 84', 1 - 1, Vidales J. ⚽, Cabello C. (A), 
 - 90+5', Bersano F. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Los Chankas  37.6% | Draw  27.9% | ADT Tarma  34.4% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Los Chankas - ADT Tarma Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.48 ↓ (2.56) | 
			   3.35 ↓ (3.36) | 
			   2.72 ↑ (2.71) | 
			   6.9% (5.9%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Los Chankas - ADT Tarma?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            6 users predict this event. Los Chankas will win (votes: 3 - 50%). ADT will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%). 
 
                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                      
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).
 - Los Chankas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
 - ADT is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  - The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
 - There will not play in ADT: Desio G.
(Knee Injury)
 - There are questionable in ADT: Fernandez A.
(Injury)
 - In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
 - Including home match between the teams, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against ADT Tarma?
                    
                    
                        
                            Los Chankas has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Los Chankas?
                    
                    
                        
                             ADT Tarma has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - ADT Tarma were as follows:
                                                        
                                27.07.2024 
                                ADT Tarma 
                                - 
                                Los Chankas 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                11.02.2024 
                                Los Chankas 
                                - 
                                ADT Tarma 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Los Chankas                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of ADT Tarma                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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