Result
1:1
04/07/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 18
- Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (137/190) | 80% (300/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (137/190) | 80% (300/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 59% (36/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (35/59) | 54% (58/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 19% (6/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Bueno P. (Pen),
- 45+4', Soto J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Perez A. ↓, Bersano F. ↑,
- 53', Moyano A. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
- 57', Bueno P. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
- 60', Da Luz M. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
- 64', Manzaneda J. 🟨,
- 80', Torres F. ↓, Mifflin L. ↑,
- 81', Manzaneda J. ↓, Palomino J. ↑,
- 81', Soto J. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Vidales J. ⚽, Cabello C. (A),
- 90+5', Bersano F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Los Chankas
37.6% | Draw
27.9% | ADT Tarma
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Los Chankas - ADT Tarma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.56) |
3.35 ↓
(3.36) |
2.72 ↑
(2.71) |
7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Los Chankas - ADT Tarma?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Los Chankas will win (votes: 3 - 50%). ADT will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).
- Los Chankas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- ADT is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in ADT: Desio G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in ADT: Fernandez A.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against ADT Tarma?
Los Chankas has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Los Chankas?
ADT Tarma has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - ADT Tarma were as follows:
27.07.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Los Chankas
2:1
11.02.2024
Los Chankas
-
ADT Tarma
2:0
Latest results of Los Chankas
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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