Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/11/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal Los Chankas (Andahuaylas).

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 9

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.93	0.77
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
1	2
Passes
78% (278/355)	83% (308/371)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93	0.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.94	1.43
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
5	3
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
1	2
Touches in opposition box
24	8
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
15	10
Passes
78% (278/355)	83% (308/371)
Long passes
53% (26/49)	47% (27/58)
Passes in final third
58% (48/83)	62% (59/95)
Crosses
19% (4/21)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.03	0.95
Throw-ins
25	22
Fouls
10	15
Tackles
81% (17/21)	93% (14/15)
Duels won
47	37
Clearances
18	28
Interceptions
3	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.43	0.94
Goals prevented
-0.57	-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Castillo E. 🟨,
31', Manzaneda J. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Paolo Guerrero ⚽, Castillo J. (A),
45+2', Quintana A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Quevedo K. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Paolo Guerrero ⚽, Lagos R. (A),
63', Pimienta C. 🟨,
69', Mogollon E. ↓, Quiroz A. ↑,
69', Palomino J. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Camargo I. ⚽, Bueno P. (A),
74', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
75', Castillo E. ↓, Chavez G. ↑,
81', Ceppelini P. ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
81', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Archimbaud J. ↑,
84', Quintana A. 🟨,
90+1', Manzaneda J. ↓, Santiago G. ↑,
90+2', Torres F. ↓, Rivero B. ↑,
90+2', Castillo J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Los Chankas
24.2%

Draw
27.5%

Alianza Lima
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

27%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Chankas's form might have worsened.

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Lima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Chankas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Lima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Los Chankas - Alianza Lima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (2.62)	3.37 ↓ (3.45)	1.92 ↓ (2.48)	8.1% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Los Chankas - Alianza Lima?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alianza Lima will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 5).
In recent matches, Los Chankas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Alianza Lima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Alianza Lima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Los Chankas: Quiroz A. (Injury) Saravia F. (Knee Injury) Velarde C. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Alianza Lima: Chavez G. (Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against Alianza Lima?

Los Chankas has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Los Chankas?

Alianza Lima has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - Alianza Lima were as follows:

18.04.2025 Alianza Lima - Los Chankas 1:0

24.08.2024 Los Chankas - Alianza Lima 0:1

28.03.2024 Alianza Lima - Los Chankas 3:0

Latest results of Los Chankas

01.11.2025 Los Chankas - Ayacucho 1:0 ✺

26.10.2025 Sporting Cristal - Los Chankas 0:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Los Chankas - Juan Pablo II College 1:0 ✺

12.10.2025 Alianza Atlético - Los Chankas 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Los Chankas - Cusco 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Alianza Lima

31.10.2025 Alianza Lima - FBC Melgar 2:2 ✺

20.10.2025 Sport Huancayo - Alianza Lima 1:2 ✺

16.10.2025 Alianza Lima - Sport Boys 3:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Lima 2:1 ✺

01.10.2025 Alianza Lima - Atlético Grau 2:1 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	13	10	2	1	24:6	18	32
2	Los Chankas	12	9	2	1	21:14	7	29
3	Cienciano	13	8	2	3	27:16	11	26
4	U. de Deportes	12	6	3	3	18:12	6	21
5	Cusco	13	6	2	5	17:21	-4	20
6	Comerciantes Unidos	13	5	4	4	17:16	1	19
7	FBC Melgar	12	5	2	5	18:16	2	17
8	AD Tarma	13	4	4	5	16:15	1	16
9	Cajamarca	12	4	4	4	18:18	0	16
10	Moquegua	13	5	1	7	15:20	-5	16
11	Sporting Cristal	13	4	3	6	22:22	0	15
12	Juan Pablo II	12	4	3	5	18:27	-9	15
13	Alianza Atl	12	3	5	4	11:11	0	14
14	Deportivo Garcilaso	12	3	4	5	12:16	-4	13
15	Sport Huancayo	12	3	3	6	14:18	-4	12
16	Sport Boys	13	3	3	7	13:19	-6	12
17	Grau	13	2	4	7	9:15	-6	10
18	FC Cajamarca	13	2	3	8	16:24	-8	9

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