Louisville City vs Lexington: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Louisville City - Lexington
Result
2:0
01/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Louisville City - Lexington - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.79
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
77% (237/306)79% (326/415)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.570.46
Total shots
169
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
810
Passes
77% (237/306)79% (326/415)
Long passes
34% (14/41)33% (18/55)
Passes in final third
67% (72/108)55% (44/80)
Crosses
21% (5/24)63% (5/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.560.51
Throw-ins
2027
Fouls
108
Tackles
83% (10/12)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3242
Clearances
2025
Interceptions
90
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.460.57
Goals prevented
0.46-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Burke C. , Lancaster C. ,
  • 50', Ajago F. 🟥,
  • 50', Adams K. 🟨,
  • 52', McFadden A. 🟨,
  • 55', Sargeant K. 🟨,
  • 58', Gleadle S. , Goodrum P. ,
  • 59', Perez E. , Morris J. ,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Gilbert G. (Own goal),
  • 72', Davila E. , Lambert K. ,
  • 72', Nick Firmino , Greene J. ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Goodrum P. , Wilson J. (A),
  • 83', Williams D. , Goldthorp E. ,
  • 87', McFadden A. , Dia A. ,
  • 87', Wilson J. , Perez A. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Louisville City
61.7%
Draw
20.9%
Lexington
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.8% 19.9% 10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2% 18.7% 9.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Louisville City's form might have worsened.
  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lexington's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Louisville City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Louisville City - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.33)
    4.45
    (4.66)
    5.34
    (8.94)
    7.6%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • Louisville City has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lexington is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).
    • In this match, Louisville City is the certain favorite.
    • We predict that Louisville City will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Louisville City
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston17122335:161938
    2Louisville City16114129:121737
    3Loudoun1683526:22427
    4North Carolina1572621:18323
    5Pittsburgh1563614:14021
    6Indy Eleven1555524:24020
    7Detroit1655620:22-220
    8Miami FC1553716:21-518
    9Birmingham1746719:24-518
    10Rhode Island1644814:18-416
    11Hartford Athletic1333715:20-512
    12Tampa Bay15321016:25-911


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio1683523:21227
    2New Mexico1581622:17525
    3FC Tulsa1474321:14725
    4Sacramento Republic1565422:121023
    5Phoenix Rising1665526:26023
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Monterey Bay1764718:21-322
    8Las Vegas Lights1653813:24-1118
    9Lexington1646617:23-618
    10Orange County SC1452718:22-417
    11Oakland Roots1652917:25-817
    12Colorado Springs1536618:22-415

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Louisville City - Lexington?
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