Result
0:2
01/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- US Open Cup - 1/32-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (512/586) | 75% (264/350) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (512/586) | 75% (264/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (41/66) | 38% (28/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (117/147) | 61% (62/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Niang B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 2, Showunmi T. ⚽,
- 61', Wilson J. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
- 61', Morris J. ↓, Dia A. ↑,
- 61', Epps M. ↓, Zengue X. ↑,
- 61', Nick Firmino ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
- 61', Gleadle S. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 78', Davila T. ↓, Duncan Z. ↑,
- 81', Greene J. ↓, Henry-Scott M. ↑,
- 81', Akale M. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
- 84', Burks K. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lexington
32.1% | Draw
27.7% | Louisville City
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Lexington - Louisville City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↓
(3.09) |
3.27 ↓
(3.54) |
2.3 ↑
(2.02) |
9%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Lexington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Louisville City is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Lexington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lexington has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Louisville City?
Lexington has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Lexington?
Louisville City has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Louisville City were as follows:
06.03.2026
Lexington
-
Louisville City
1:2
26.07.2025
Lexington
-
Louisville City
1:2
01.05.2025
Louisville City
-
Lexington
2:0
Latest results of Lexington
Latest results of Louisville City
Draw
20261/64-finals| 1 | Chattanooga | Kalonji | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Tennessee Tempo | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Atlanta Utd | |
| 5 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 7 | Charlotte Independ. | Ristozi | 4 : 1 |
| 8 | Charleston | Florida Badgers | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Vermont Green | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | NY Renegades | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | New York City | |
| 13 | New York Red Bulls | Bye | |
| 15 | Steel City | Pittsburgh | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Carolina Core | Virginia Dream | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Flint City | Forward Madison | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Detroit | Michigan Rangers | 5 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | Chicago Fire | |
| 21 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 23 | San Antonio | New Stars | 6 : 0 |
| 24 | Little Rock Rangers | FC Tulsa | 2 : 4 |
| 25 | Lexington | Flower City Union | 9 : 0 |
| 26 | Louisville City | Southern Indiana | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 29 | Houston Dynamo | Bye | |
| 31 | New Mexico | Cruizers | 3 : 2 |
| 32 | Laredo Heat | El Paso | 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Colorado Springs | Azteca | 3 : 0 |
| 34 | Ventura | Spokane Velocity | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 37 | Colorado Rapids | Bye | |
| 39 | Indy Eleven | Menace | 3 : 0 |
| 40 | BOHFS St. Louis | Union Omaha | 0 : 8 |
| 41 | AV Alta | Valley 559 FC | 0 : 1 |
| 42 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 45 | San Jose Earthquakes | Bye | |
| 47 | Orange County SC | Laguna United | 3 : 0 |
| 48 | Phoenix Rising | San Ramon | 4 : 0 |
| 49 | FC Naples | Red Force | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Tormenta | America CFL Spurs (WO.) | |
| 52 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 53 | New England Revolution | Bye | |
| 55 | Rhode Island | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
| 56 | Motown | Hartford Athletic | 0 : 2 |
| 57 | Richmond Kickers | Northern Virginia | 2 : 0 |
| 58 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 61 | DC United | Bye | |
| 63 | Asheville City | Greenville | 3 : 1 |
| 64 | Vistula | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Chattanooga | Tennessee Tempo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | Atlanta Utd | |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Charlotte Independ. | Charleston | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | Vermont Green | Westchester SC | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | New York City | |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls | Bye | |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | Virginia Dream | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Flint City | Detroit | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Chicago Fire | |
| 11 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 12 | San Antonio | FC Tulsa | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Lexington | Louisville City | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Houston Dynamo | Bye | |
| 16 | New Mexico | El Paso | 0 : 4 |
| 17 | Colorado Springs | Spokane Velocity | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Bye | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 19 | Colorado Rapids | Bye | |
| 20 | Indy Eleven | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Valley 559 FC | Sacramento Republic | 0 : 4 |
| 22 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 23 | San Jose Earthquakes | Bye | |
| 24 | Orange County SC | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | FC Naples | America CFL Spurs | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 27 | New England Revolution | Bye | |
| 28 | Rhode Island | Hartford Athletic | 2 : 0 |
| 29 | Richmond Kickers | Loudoun | 1 : 0 |
| 30 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 31 | DC United | Bye | |
| 32 | Asheville City | One Knoxville | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Chattanooga | Atlanta Utd | |
| 2 | Charlotte | Charlotte Independ. | |
| 3 | Westchester SC | New York City | |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | Pittsburgh | |
| 5 | Detroit | Chicago Fire | |
| 6 | St. Louis City | FC Tulsa | |
| 7 | Louisville City | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | El Paso | |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 10 | Colorado Rapids | Union Omaha | |
| 11 | Sacramento Republic | Minnesota United | |
| 12 | San Jose Earthquakes | Phoenix Rising | |
| 13 | FC Naples | Orlando City | |
| 14 | New England Revolution | Rhode Island | |
| 15 | Richmond Kickers | Columbus Crew | |
| 16 | DC United | One Knoxville | |
1/8-finals
