Lexington vs Louisville City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football  USL League One Cup Lexington - Louisville City
Result
1:2
26/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Cup
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.672.81
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
934
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
511
Passes
81% (243/299)83% (323/391)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.672.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.611.50
Total shots
934
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
420
Shots inside the Box
622
Shots outside the Box
312
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
511
Touches in opposition box
855
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
69
Passes
81% (243/299)83% (323/391)
Long passes
43% (19/44)44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
71% (37/52)72% (115/159)
Crosses
27% (3/11)24% (11/46)
Expected assists (xA)
0.431.19
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
96
Tackles
56% (5/9)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3751
Clearances
5410
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.500.61
Goals prevented
-0.50-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Olney C. , Midence A. ,
  • 63', Jones J. , Perez E. ,
  • 64', Lancaster C. , Wilson J. ,
  • 64', Dia A. , Morris J. ,
  • 71', Caceres E. , Nick Firmino ,
  • 72', Burke C. , Ajago F. ,
  • 72', Sargeant K. , Greene J. ,
  • 75', Midence A. 🟨,
  • 80', Gleadle S. , Ownby B. ,
  • 80', Serrano R. , Davila E. ,
  • 87', 1 - 0, Greene J. , Adedokun M. (A),
  • 90', Midence A. , Epps M. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Morris J. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 2, Morris J. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lexington
23.4%
Draw
25.4%
Louisville City
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.9% 26.6% 50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2% 26.3% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Lexington - Louisville City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.91
    (3.97)
    3.6
    (3.42)
    1.78
    (1.8)
    9.5%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Louisville City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lexington has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Louisville City is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Louisville City were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Louisville City - Lexington 2:0
    Latest results of Lexington
    Latest results of Louisville City