Result
4:1
14/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (408/476) | 85% (376/441) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (408/476) | 85% (376/441) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (37/61) | 43% (32/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (150/192) | 68% (54/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (14/38) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | -2.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, McFadden A. ⚽, Donovan C. (A),
- 28', 2 - 0, Serrano R. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
- 30', 3 - 0, Donovan C. ⚽, Wilson J. (A),
- 44', 3 - 1, Milesi A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lambert K. ↓, Duncan Z. ↑,
- 46', Diaz G. ↓, Ndiaye B. ↑,
- 61', Rocha A. ↓, Tunbridge M. ↑,
- 62', Tulu ↓, Kilwien P. ↑,
- 68', 4 - 1, Wilson J. ⚽, Serrano R. (A),
- 75', Adams K. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 75', Serrano R. ↓, Huerman Q. ↑,
- 76', Musto T. ↓, Tori R. ↑,
- 76', Ndongo M. ↓, Bent B. ↑,
- 80', Wilson J. 🟨,
- 86', McFadden A. ↓, Moguel C. ↑,
- 90+1', Davila T. ↓, Niang B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Louisville City
70.6% | Draw
18.4% | Miami
10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louisville City's performance.Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miami might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Louisville City - Miami Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.61) |
5.05 ↑
(3.89) |
8.54 ↑
(4.77) |
7.4%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 4.
- Louisville City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Louisville City is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Miami?
Louisville City has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Louisville City?
Miami has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Miami were as follows:
11.10.2025
Louisville City
-
Miami
1:0
16.08.2025
Miami
-
Louisville City
2:4
02.10.2024
Louisville City
-
Miami
3:0
01.06.2024
Miami
-
Louisville City
1:2
20.09.2023
Miami
-
Louisville City
4:3
Latest results of Louisville City
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Detroit | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Charleston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Brooklyn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Antonio | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | El Paso | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | FC Tulsa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Lexington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
