Result
3:3
10/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Bych I. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (280/395) | 76% (332/434) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (280/395) | 76% (332/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (21/72) | 42% (31/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (56/93) | 65% (96/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.45 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Ulfarsson T. ⚽, Aman R. (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Dayes B. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
- 26', 1 - 2, Showunmi T. ⚽,
- 44', Niang B. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 2, Ulfarsson T. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gleadle S. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 46', Dia A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
- 48', Davila E. 🟨,
- 61', 3 - 2, Akinyode B. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
- 65', Niang B. ↓, Duncan Z. ↑,
- 65', Wilson J. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
- 66', Niyongabire P. ↓, Piras L. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 3, Davila E. ⚽, Perez E. (A),
- 76', Marcos Dias ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
- 76', Santos P. ↓, Panayotou J. ↑,
- 87', Davila E. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Loudoun United
17.6% | Draw
23.4% | Louisville City
59% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Loudoun United's form might have worsened.Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louisville City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Loudoun United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louisville City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Loudoun United - Louisville City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.25 ↑
(4) |
3.96 ↑
(3.22) |
1.57 ↓
(1.87) |
8%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Loudoun United - Louisville City?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Loudoun will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Louisville City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 1.
- In recent matches, Loudoun has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Louisville City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Louisville City is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Loudoun United won against Louisville City?
Loudoun United has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Loudoun United?
Louisville City has won 8 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Louisville City were as follows:
25.06.2025
Loudoun United
-
Louisville City
1:4
31.05.2025
Loudoun United
-
Louisville City
2:1
15.04.2025
Louisville City
-
Loudoun United
2:1
22.03.2025
Louisville City
-
Loudoun United
2:0
06.09.2024
Louisville City
-
Loudoun United
1:0
Latest results of Loudoun United
Latest results of Louisville City
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Detroit | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Charleston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Brooklyn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Antonio | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | El Paso | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Lexington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:15 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
