Result
0:0
09/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 9
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 90+3', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Serpa
29% | Draw
30.7% | Louletano
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serpa's form might have worsened.Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serpa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louletano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Serpa - Louletano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↑
(2.6) |
2.96 ↓
(3.1) |
2.26 ↓
(2.45) |
9.8%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serpa won 1.
- Recent performances by Serpa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Louletano is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Serpa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 1:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Serpa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Serpa won against Louletano?
Serpa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louletano won against Serpa?
Louletano has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Serpa - Louletano were as follows:
30.11.2024
Serpa
-
Louletano
1:3
04.02.2024
Serpa
-
Louletano
2:1
01.10.2023
Louletano
-
Serpa
3:1
Latest results of Louletano
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Malveira | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 34 |
| 2 | Juv. Evora | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Louletano | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 20:9 | 11 | 32 |
| 4 | Serpa | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 30 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 34:25 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | Alverca B | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 28 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Oriental | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 26 |
| 10 | O Elvas CAD | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 18 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 19 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 16:35 | -19 | 13 |
| 14 | Industria | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16:29 | -13 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
