Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 22
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 86', 2 - 1, (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Louletano
53.3% | Draw
28.3% | Serpa
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Louletano - Serpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.76) |
3.2 ↓
(3.25) |
4.94 ↑
(4.41) |
10.4%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louletano won 3.
- Louletano is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Serpa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Serpa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Louletano is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Louletano will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Louletano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Louletano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 3.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Louletano won against Serpa?
Louletano has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Serpa won against Louletano?
Serpa has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Louletano - Serpa were as follows:
09.11.2025
Serpa
-
Louletano
0:0
30.11.2024
Serpa
-
Louletano
1:3
04.02.2024
Serpa
-
Louletano
2:1
01.10.2023
Louletano
-
Serpa
3:1
Latest results of Louletano
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Malveira | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 40 |
| 2 | Louletano | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 24:10 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Juv. Evora | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 27:21 | 6 | 36 |
| 4 | Alverca B | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | Serpa | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38:31 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | GD Alcochetense | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 27:19 | 8 | 31 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 31 |
| 9 | O Elvas CAD | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 29 |
| 10 | Oriental | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17:30 | -13 | 21 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama ✔ | 22 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 17:43 | -26 | 13 |
| 14 | Industria ✔ | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18:35 | -17 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vasco da Gama is Relegated to
Industria is Relegated to
