Result
2:0
25/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Chances of winning
Louletano 50.9% | Draw 29.1% | Lagoa 20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louletano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Lagoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Louletano - Lagoa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.77 ↑ (1.63) |
3.1 ↓ (3.42) |
4.52 ↓ (5) |
10.9% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4).
- Louletano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lagoa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Louletano is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Louletano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Louletano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Louletano won against Lagoa?
Louletano has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lagoa won against Louletano?
Lagoa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Louletano - Lagoa were as follows:
07.09.2025
Lagoa
-
Louletano
1:3
23.02.2025
Lagoa
-
Louletano
0:5
27.10.2024
Louletano
-
Lagoa
0:1
Latest results of Louletano
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louletano ✔ | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 35:13 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | Malveira | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 44 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 44:32 | 12 | 44 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 43 |
| 5 | Lagoa | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 43:32 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | GD Alcochetense | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 31:21 | 10 | 38 |
| 7 | Sintrense | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 28:24 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Serpa | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 34 |
| 9 | O Elvas CAD | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 33 |
| 10 | Moncarapachense | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 21:21 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Oriental ✔ | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Portimonense B ✔ | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 18:40 | -22 | 22 |
| 13 | Industria ✔ | 25 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 20:40 | -20 | 14 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama ✔ | 25 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 19:52 | -33 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louletano is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Oriental is Relegated to
Portimonense B is Relegated to
Industria is Relegated to
Vasco da Gama is Relegated to