Rei Sakamoto vs Roberto Carballes Baena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
06/04/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
71%62%
1st serve points won
81% (29/36)61% (23/38)
2nd serve points won
60% (9/15)61% (14/23)
Break Points Saved
2/21/4
1st return points won
39% (15/38)25% (9/36)
2nd return points won
35% (8/23)40% (6/15)
Break Points Converted
3/40/2
Winners
3014
Unforced errors
2315
Net points won
75% (9/12)0% (0/2)
Service Points Won
75% (38/51)60% (36/60)
Return Points Won
40% (24/60)25% (13/51)
Total Points Won
56% (62/111)44% (49/111)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (9/9)70% (7/10)
Return games won
30% (3/10)0% (0/9)
Total games won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Rei Sakamoto
39.9%
Roberto Carballes Baena
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 59.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Rei Sakamoto - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.38)

    1.55
    (1.53)
    7.6%
    (7.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 166. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 159.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Sakamoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Carballes Baena could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Rei Sakamoto