Luca Van Assche vs Tristan Schoolkate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
11/03/2026 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
42
Double Faults
44
1st serve percentage
75%52%
1st serve points won
74% (29/39)69% (22/32)
2nd serve points won
62% (8/13)37% (11/30)
Break Points Saved
2/33/7
1st return points won
38% (12/32)28% (11/39)
2nd return points won
63% (19/30)38% (5/13)
Break Points Converted
4/71/3
Winners
1023
Unforced errors
1538
Net points won
100% (4/4)58% (7/12)
Service Points Won
71% (36/51)56% (31/55)
Return Points Won
44% (24/55)29% (15/51)
Total Points Won
57% (60/106)43% (46/106)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
02
Service games won
89% (8/9)56% (5/9)
Return games won
44% (4/9)11% (1/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Luca Van Assche
67.6%
Tristan Schoolkate
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Luca Van Assche - Tristan Schoolkate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.37)

    2.91
    (2.87)
    6.9%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Van Assche is ranked ATP: 105. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 118.
    • Van Assche is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Schoolkate has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Schoolkate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Van Assche is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Luca Van Assche
    Latest results of Tristan Schoolkate
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Bye
    2McDonald M. (Alt)Landaluce M. (Q)2 : 1
    3Tseng C. H.Andrade A. (Q)0 : 2
    4Jarry N. (WC)Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    5Hurkacz H. (4)Bye
    6Maestrelli F.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    7van Assche L. (Q)Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    8Barrios Vera T.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (7)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    10Cid Subervi R. (WC)Blockx A.0 : 2
    11Burruchaga R. A.Wong C. (LL)1 : 2
    12ByeDzumhur D. (3)
    13Navone M. (6)Hardt N. (WC)2 : 1
    14Mejia N. (Q)Mochizuki S. (Alt)0 : 2
    15Bautista-Agut R.Goffin D. (Alt)2 : 0
    16ByeRoyer V. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)McDonald M.2 : 0
    2Andrade A.Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    3Hurkacz H. (4)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    4van Assche L.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    5Svrcina D.Blockx A.1 : 2
    6Wong C.Dzumhur D. (3)2 : 1
    7Navone M. (6)Mochizuki S.2 : 0
    8Bautista-Agut R.Royer V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Walton A. (8)1 : 2
    2Bellucci M.Collignon R. (5)2 : 0
    3Blockx A.Wong C.2 : 1
    4Navone M. (6)Royer V. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Walton A. (8)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    2Blockx A.Navone M. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Bellucci M.Navone M. (6)