Pontedera vs Lucchese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Pontedera - Lucchese
Result
4:1
05/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1328
Shots on target
916
Corner Kicks
111
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1328
Shots on target
916
Shots off target
412
Corner Kicks
111
Goalkeeper Saves
155

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Lipari M. ,
  • 14', 2 - 0, Italeng J. ,
  • 18', Rizzo N. 🟨,
  • 43', 3 - 0, Italeng J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Welbeck N. , Galli G. ,
  • 46', Benedetti S. , Gemignani A. ,
  • 54', 4 - 0, Italeng J. ,
  • 65', Magnaghi S. , Saporiti E. ,
  • 65', Fedato F. , Badje I. ,
  • 66', Lipari M. , Sala M. ,
  • 66', Vitali P. , Gaddini M. ,
  • 67', Ladinetti R. , van Ransbeeck K. ,
  • 72', Guidi M. , Pietra N. ,
  • 78', Perretta G. , Sarpa A. ,
  • 83', 4 - 1, Selvini A. ,
  • 86', Tantalocchi E. 🟨,
  • 89', Pietra N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pontedera
54.9%
Draw
24.9%
Lucchese
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 26.2% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 26.8% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontedera's performance.
  • Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucchese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontedera that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucchese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pontedera - Lucchese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (2.24)
    3.69
    (3.49)
    4.55
    (2.77)
    8.8%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Lucchese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Pontedera is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lucchese: Catanese G. (Inactive) Gemignani A. (Inactive) Saporiti E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Pontedera: Cerretti C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lucchese: Galli G. (Inactive) Tumbarello G. (Inactive)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28:27 (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pontedera won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:16 (average 1.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pontedera - Lucchese were as follows:
    25.11.2024 Lucchese - Pontedera 2:1
    06.03.2024 Pontedera - Lucchese 2:2
    29.10.2023 Lucchese - Pontedera 1:2
    15.01.2023 Pontedera - Lucchese 0:0
    14.09.2022 Lucchese - Pontedera 1:1
    Latest results of Pontedera
    28.03.2025 Pianese - Pontedera 0:3
    22.03.2025 Pontedera - Ascoli 1:1
    15.03.2025 Milan Futuro - Pontedera 1:1
    11.03.2025 Pontedera - Pescara 0:3
    07.03.2025 Virtus Entella - Pontedera 3:1
    Latest results of Lucchese
    30.03.2025 Lucchese - Ternana 4:1
    22.03.2025 Legnago Salus - Lucchese 1:1
    15.03.2025 Lucchese - Campobasso 2:0
    11.03.2025 Lucchese - Virtus Entella 2:2
    07.03.2025 Pescara - Lucchese 4:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo1191121:71428
    2Ascoli1073021:21924
    3Ravenna1080219:13624
    4Ternana1153314:10418
    5Forli1152412:9317
    6Guidonia115248:7117
    7Campobasso1144316:11516
    8Gubbio1144310:9116
    9Pineto1143416:13315
    10Carpi1143413:15-215
    11Sambenedettese1042413:11214
    12Juventus U231142516:18-214
    13Pianese1034310:10013
    14Vis Pesaro1026210:8212
    15Pontedera113268:21-1311
    16Livorno103166:15-910
    17Torres111465:13-87
    18Bra1013610:19-96
    19Perugia100376:17-113
    20Rimini113267:13-6-1

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation