Result
4:1
05/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 35
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Lipari M. ⚽,
- 14', 2 - 0, Italeng J. ⚽,
- 18', Rizzo N. 🟨,
- 43', 3 - 0, Italeng J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Welbeck N. ↓, Galli G. ↑,
- 46', Benedetti S. ↓, Gemignani A. ↑,
- 54', 4 - 0, Italeng J. ⚽,
- 65', Magnaghi S. ↓, Saporiti E. ↑,
- 65', Fedato F. ↓, Badje I. ↑,
- 66', Lipari M. ↓, Sala M. ↑,
- 66', Vitali P. ↓, Gaddini M. ↑,
- 67', Ladinetti R. ↓, van Ransbeeck K. ↑,
- 72', Guidi M. ↓, Pietra N. ↑,
- 78', Perretta G. ↓, Sarpa A. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 1, Selvini A. ⚽,
- 86', Tantalocchi E. 🟨,
- 89', Pietra N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pontedera
54.9% | Draw
24.9% | Lucchese
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontedera's performance.Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucchese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontedera that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucchese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pontedera - Lucchese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(2.24) |
3.69 ↑
(3.49) |
4.55 ↑
(2.77) |
8.8%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pontedera - Lucchese?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Lucchese (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lucchese (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Lucchese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Pontedera is a favorite.
- There will not play in Lucchese: Catanese G.
(Inactive)
Gemignani A.
(Inactive)
Saporiti E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Pontedera: Cerretti C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lucchese: Galli G.
(Inactive)
Tumbarello G.
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28:27 (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Pontedera won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:16 (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Pontedera won against Lucchese?
Pontedera has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lucchese won against Pontedera?
Lucchese has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pontedera - Lucchese were as follows:
25.11.2024
Lucchese
-
Pontedera
2:1
06.03.2024
Pontedera
-
Lucchese
2:2
29.10.2023
Lucchese
-
Pontedera
1:2
15.01.2023
Pontedera
-
Lucchese
0:0
14.09.2022
Lucchese
-
Pontedera
1:1
Latest results of Pontedera
Latest results of Lucchese
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 54:20 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 65 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 45:30 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Pineto | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 48 |
| 5 | Campobasso | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 43:35 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Pianese | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Juventus U23 | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Vis Pesaro | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 43 |
| 10 | Ternana | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 37:31 | 6 | 43 |
| 11 | Livorno | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 33:46 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 25:28 | -3 | 36 |
| 13 | Forli | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 35 |
| 14 | Carpi | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30:42 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 16 | Torres | 32 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 29 |
| 18 | Bra | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 26:55 | -29 | 19 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
