Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', Frizzi R. 🟥,
- 42', 0 - 1, Eleouet A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 74', 1 - 1, Amirzade M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lugano II 29.3% | Draw 22% | Bavois 48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Bavois has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bavois than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Lugano II - Bavois Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.15 ↑ (2.91) |
4.21 ↑ (3.68) |
1.9 ↓ (2.08) |
8.1% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3).
- Lugano II is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bavois is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Bavois is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugano II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano II won against Bavois?
Lugano II has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bavois won against Lugano II?
Bavois has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano II - Bavois were as follows:
12.04.2025
Lugano II
-
Bavois
0:0
23.03.2024
Bavois
-
Lugano II
3:1
16.09.2023
Lugano II
-
Bavois
2:1
Latest results of Lugano II
Swiss Promotion League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kriens | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 64:27 | 37 | 54 |
| 2 | Bruhl | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 49:30 | 19 | 46 |
| 3 | Young Boys II | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 48:32 | 16 | 43 |
| 4 | Biel | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 52:33 | 19 | 42 |
| 5 | Bavois | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 47:28 | 19 | 42 |
| 6 | Basel II | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 46:34 | 12 | 37 |
| 7 | Zurich II | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 39:38 | 1 | 33 |
| 8 | Schaffhausen | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Cham | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 37:39 | -2 | 28 |
| 10 | Lugano II | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 31:45 | -14 | 28 |
| 11 | Luzern II | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 53:54 | -1 | 25 |
| 12 | Bulle | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 42:46 | -4 | 25 |
| 13 | Grand-Saconnex | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 45:51 | -6 | 24 |
| 14 | Breitenrain | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 23 |
| 15 | Lausanne II | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 23 |
| 16 | Kreuzlingen | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 28:46 | -18 | 22 |
| 17 | Paradiso | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 38:55 | -17 | 18 |
| 18 | Vevey | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:61 | -47 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Challenge League
Relegation