Burgos vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Burgos - Lugo
Result
0:1
27/05/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 42
  • Referee: Caparros I. (Esp)

Chances of winning


Burgos
56.9%
Draw
26.1%
Lugo
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 26% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 17.4% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-18.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Burgos - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.64)
    3.59
    (3.62)
    5.4
    (5.69)
    7.3%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Burgos - Lugo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Lugo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Burgos has the most likely position - 11 (47.46%), project points - 56, currently - 54, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (100%), project points - 29, currently - 28, already of relegated.
    • This event has small quality 23, very small importance 0, small match rating 12. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Burgos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lugo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Lugo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Burgos is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Burgos won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Lugo were as follows:
    23.10.2022 Lugo - Burgos 2:0
    Latest results of Burgos
    20.05.2023 Tenerife - Burgos 2:1
    12.05.2023 Burgos - Leganés 0:3
    07.05.2023 Cartagena - Burgos 0:0
    01.05.2023 Burgos - Villarreal B 1:0
    23.04.2023 Mirandés - Burgos 2:1
    Latest results of Lugo
    20.05.2023 Lugo - Huesca 1:2
    13.05.2023 Granada - Lugo 2:0
    07.05.2023 Lugo - FC Andorra 2:2
    01.05.2023 Sporting de Gijón - Lugo 3:1
    23.04.2023 Lugo - Málaga 0:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Valladolid22004:046
    2Racing Santander22006:336
    3Gijon22003:126
    4Burgos CF21105:144
    5Eibar21104:134
    6Las Palmas21104:224
    7Andorra21104:224
    8Dep. La Coruna21103:124
    9Almeria21105:414
    10Malaga21102:114
    11Cadiz CF21102:114
    12Huesca21102:114
    13Real Sociedad B21011:103
    14Leganes20202:202
    15Albacete20116:7-11
    16Mirandes20020:2-20
    17Cordoba20022:5-30
    18Castellon20021:4-30
    19Zaragoza20021:4-30
    20Ceuta20020:4-40
    21Cultural Leonesa20021:6-50
    22Granada CF20021:6-50

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation