Result
0:1
27/05/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 42
- Referee: Caparros I. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Burgos
56.9% | Draw
26.1% | Lugo
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-18.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Burgos - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64
(1.64) |
3.59 ↓
(3.62) |
5.4 ↓
(5.69) |
7.3%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Burgos - Lugo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Lugo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Burgos has the most likely position - 11 (47.46%), project points - 56, currently - 54, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (100%), project points - 29, currently - 28, already of relegated.
- This event has small quality 23, very small importance 0, small match rating 12. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Burgos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Lugo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Lugo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Burgos is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Burgos won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Lugo?
Burgos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Burgos?
Lugo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Lugo were as follows:
23.10.2022
Lugo
-
Burgos
2:0
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
