Result
2:0
13/05/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 40
- Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
France | beIN Sports Max |
Portugal | Eleven Sports |
Chances of winning
Granada 74.6% | Draw 16.9% | Lugo 8.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Granada's performance.Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-30.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Granada that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Granada - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.26 ↓ (1.35) |
5.65 ↑ (4.5) |
10.99 ↑ (9.35) |
6% (7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Granada - Lugo?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Lugo will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 47.7% – 95.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Granada has the most likely position - 3 (22.1%), project points - 72, currently - 66, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (57%), a good chance of promoted (58%), a chance of win league (21%).
- Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (70.18%), project points - 30, currently - 28, already of relegated.
- This event has small quality 27, importance 50, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Granada is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Lugo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Lugo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Granada is absolute favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Granada won against Lugo?
Granada has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Granada?
Lugo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Granada - Lugo were as follows:
17.12.2022
Lugo
-
Granada
1:0
Latest results of Granada
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 35 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 72:54 | 18 | 65 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 53:38 | 15 | 61 |
| 3 | Almeria | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 67:52 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Malaga | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 58:41 | 17 | 60 |
| 5 | Burgos CF | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 60 |
| 6 | Castellon | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 58:43 | 15 | 58 |
| 7 | Las Palmas | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 45:30 | 15 | 57 |
| 8 | Eibar | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 55 |
| 9 | Andorra | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 51:47 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Gijon | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 45:44 | 1 | 49 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 42:55 | -13 | 49 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:52 | -5 | 48 |
| 13 | Granada CF | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 45 |
| 14 | Albacete | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 44:47 | -3 | 44 |
| 15 | Leganes | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 40:38 | 2 | 42 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 45:50 | -5 | 41 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 39:47 | -8 | 40 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 38 |
| 19 | Zaragoza | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Huesca | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 35:53 | -18 | 33 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 37:56 | -19 | 33 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 31:56 | -25 | 32 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation