Cartagena vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Cartagena - Lugo
Result
2:0
24/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
portugalPortugalEleven Sports
romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport

Chances of winning


Cartagena
54.8%
Draw
27.2%
Lugo
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 27.5% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 26.8% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Cartagena - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.63)
    3.44
    (3.35)
    5.22
    (5.78)
    6.9%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cartagena - Lugo?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Lugo will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cartagena: 32%80.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation).
    • Cartagena has the most likely position - 8 (13.1%), project points - 58, currently - 44, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), a very small chance of promoted (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (56.3%), project points - 35, currently - 25, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has small quality 25, very small importance 8, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Cartagena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lugo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Cartagena is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cartagena - Lugo were as follows:
    07.11.2022 Lugo - Cartagena 1:1
    Latest results of Cartagena
    19.03.2023 Villarreal B - Cartagena 4:2
    12.03.2023 Cartagena - FC Andorra 0:3
    05.03.2023 Ponferradina - Cartagena 0:3
    17.02.2023 Cartagena - Real Oviedo 2:1
    Latest results of Lugo
    19.03.2023 Lugo - Racing Santander 1:1
    11.03.2023 Deportivo Alavés - Lugo 0:0
    05.03.2023 Lugo - Zaragoza 0:0
    26.02.2023 Levante - Lugo 3:1
    18.02.2023 Lugo - Eibar 0:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Valladolid22004:046
    2Racing Santander22006:336
    3Gijon22003:126
    4Burgos CF21105:144
    5Eibar21104:134
    6Las Palmas21104:224
    7Andorra21104:224
    8Dep. La Coruna21103:124
    9Almeria21105:414
    10Malaga21102:114
    11Cadiz CF21102:114
    12Huesca21102:114
    13Real Sociedad B21011:103
    14Leganes20202:202
    15Albacete20116:7-11
    16Mirandes20020:2-20
    17Cordoba20022:5-30
    18Castellon20021:4-30
    19Zaragoza20021:4-30
    20Ceuta20020:4-40
    21Cultural Leonesa20021:6-50
    22Granada CF20021:6-50

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation