Result
2:0
24/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Eleven Sports |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport |
Chances of winning
Cartagena
54.8% | Draw
27.2% | Lugo
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Cartagena - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.63) |
3.44 ↑
(3.35) |
5.22 ↓
(5.78) |
6.9%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cartagena - Lugo?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Lugo will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cartagena: 32% – 80.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation).
- Cartagena has the most likely position - 8 (13.1%), project points - 58, currently - 44, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), a very small chance of promoted (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (56.3%), project points - 35, currently - 25, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has small quality 25, very small importance 8, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Cartagena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Lugo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Cartagena is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Cartagena won against Lugo?
Cartagena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Cartagena?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cartagena - Lugo were as follows:
07.11.2022
Lugo
-
Cartagena
1:1
Latest results of Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 79:57 | 22 | 72 |
| 2 | Almeria | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 78:58 | 20 | 70 |
| 3 | Dep. La Coruna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 59:41 | 18 | 68 |
| 4 | Las Palmas | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 51:32 | 19 | 66 |
| 5 | Castellon | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 65:48 | 17 | 64 |
| 6 | Malaga | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 66:49 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 44:33 | 11 | 62 |
| 8 | Eibar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:36 | 11 | 61 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:56 | -2 | 57 |
| 10 | Andorra | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 55 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 46:58 | -12 | 54 |
| 12 | Gijon | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 51:49 | 2 | 52 |
| 13 | Albacete | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 49:51 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 48 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:50 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Leganes | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:46 | -5 | 42 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46:54 | -8 | 42 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Huesca | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 39:59 | -20 | 36 |
| 20 | Mirandes | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 42:64 | -22 | 36 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33:51 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 35:62 | -27 | 33 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
