Lugo vs Celta de Vigo B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
18/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
58
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
14
Yellow Cards
63
Red Cards
10
Total shots
58
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Gavian P. 🟨,
  • 21', Caballo D. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Alba T. ,
  • 32', Gaya J. 🟨,
  • 43', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jose Amo , Nicholas N. ,
  • 46', Lopez I. 🟨,
  • 55', Miller G. , Gonzalez H. ,
  • 55', Bilbao L. , Somuah B. ,
  • 61', Gaya J. 🟨,
  • 65', Junior L. , Samanes S. ,
  • 65', Rodriguez A. , de la Iglesia D. ,
  • 65', Capdevila A. , Arceo C. ,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Unzueta I. ,
  • 73', Lopez I. , Trigueros P. ,
  • 73', Alba T. , Balboa A. ,
  • 80', Samanes S. 🟨,
  • 83', Antanon A. , Marin A. ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 90', Presa K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lugo
54.8%
Draw
26.4%
Celta de Vigo B
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 30.1% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 31% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.
  • Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celta de Vigo B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celta de Vigo B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lugo - Celta de Vigo B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.45)
    3.72
    (3.03)
    5.38
    (2.79)
    2.7%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 2.
    • In recent matches, Lugo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Celta de Vigo B is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lugo could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Celta de Vigo B were as follows:
    19.03.2025 Celta de Vigo B - Lugo 1:2
    19.10.2024 Lugo - Celta de Vigo B 1:0
    03.08.2024 Lugo - Celta de Vigo B 0:1
    14.04.2024 Celta de Vigo B - Lugo 4:1
    02.01.2024 Lugo - Celta de Vigo B 0:1
    Latest results of Lugo
    04.10.2025 Lugo - Cacereño 1:0
    21.09.2025 Lugo - Ferrol 2:1
    14.09.2025 Zamora - Lugo 1:0
    Latest results of Celta de Vigo B
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife28186449:173260
    2Celta Vigo B28148643:35850
    3Ath Bilbao B28127930:30043
    4Barakaldo281110738:29943
    5Pontevedra271012532:201242
    6Zamora28119836:31542
    7Real Madrid B281261038:36242
    8Lugo281011727:27041
    9Racing Club Ferrol281251134:33141
    10Ponferradina281171028:23540
    11AD Merida281171037:38-140
    12Unionistas281081037:36138
    13Arenas Getxo271041331:38-734
    14Real Aviles28961340:48-833
    15Ourense CF28881231:33-232
    16Guadalajara28871330:41-1131
    17CF Talavera28861429:38-930
    18Cacereno286111126:37-1129
    19Arenteiro28671525:36-1125
    20Osasuna B28591418:33-1524

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