Deportivo Alavés vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Deportivo Alavés - Lugo
Result
0:0
11/03/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 31
  • Referee: Trujillo Suarez D. (Esp)

Chances of winning


Deportivo Alavés
68.7%
Draw
21.7%
Lugo
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.6% 23.5% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1% 22% 11.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Deportivo Alavés - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.43)
    4.33
    (3.91)
    9.57
    (7.73)
    6.6%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Lugo?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Lugo will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 69.4%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
    • Alavés has the most likely position - 4 (18.87%), has project points - 72, has currently - 53, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (66%), has a chance of promoted (42%), has a small chance of win league (10%).
    • Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (54.02%), has project points - 35, has currently - 23, has a very good chance of relegated (98%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has small quality 28, importance 33, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 2.
    • Alavés is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Lugo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Alavés is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Alavés won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Lugo were as follows:
    10.09.2022 Lugo - Deportivo Alavés 1:2
    Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
    Latest results of Lugo
    05.03.2023 Lugo - Zaragoza 0:0
    26.02.2023 Levante - Lugo 3:1
    18.02.2023 Lugo - Eibar 0:2
    11.02.2023 Las Palmas - Lugo 3:0
    05.02.2023 Lugo - Ibiza 0:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gijon00000:000
    2Cordoba00000:000
    3Las Palmas00000:000
    4Castellon00000:000
    5Albacete00000:000
    6Eibar00000:000
    7Malaga00000:000
    8Cadiz CF00000:000
    9Burgos CF00000:000
    10Huesca00000:000
    11Racing Santander00000:000
    12Almeria00000:000
    13Dep. La Coruna00000:000
    14Valladolid00000:000
    15Zaragoza00000:000
    16Real Sociedad B00000:000
    17Cultural Leonesa00000:000
    18Leganes00000:000
    19Ceuta00000:000
    20Granada CF00000:000
    21Mirandes00000:000
    22Andorra00000:000

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation