Result
0:0
11/03/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 31
- Referee: Trujillo Suarez D. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Deportivo Alavés
68.7% | Draw
21.7% | Lugo
9.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Deportivo Alavés - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.43) |
4.33 ↑
(3.91) |
9.57 ↑
(7.73) |
6.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Lugo?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Lugo will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 69.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
- Alavés has the most likely position - 4 (18.87%), has project points - 72, has currently - 53, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (66%), has a chance of promoted (42%), has a small chance of win league (10%).
- Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (54.02%), has project points - 35, has currently - 23, has a very good chance of relegated (98%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 28, importance 33, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 2.
- Alavés is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Lugo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Alavés is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Alavés won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Alavés won against Lugo?
Deportivo Alavés has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Deportivo Alavés?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Lugo were as follows:
10.09.2022
Lugo
-
Deportivo Alavés
1:2
Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
