Result
2:1
10/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 45% | 59% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 92% (36/39) | 77% (37/48) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (24/48) | 73% (24/33) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 4/7 | 3/5 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 29% (14/48) | 28% (11/39) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 50% (24/48) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/5 | 3/7 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 38 | 13 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 61 | 23 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 60% (6/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (60/87) | 72% (58/81) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 28% (23/81) | 31% (27/87) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (83/168) | 51% (85/168) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 87% (13/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 20% (3/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 47% (14/30) | 53% (16/30) |
Chances of winning
Luka Pavlovic
43.6% | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
56.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luka Pavlovic's performance.Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luka Pavlovic that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Luka Pavlovic - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.66) |
|
1.65 ↑
(1.41) |
7%
(8.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Luka Pavlovic - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Pavlovic will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Pacheco Mendez will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pavlovic: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pavlovic (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 200. Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 270.
- At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
- Pavlovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Pacheco Mendez could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Pacheco Mendez will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pavlovic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Luka Pavlovic won against Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez?
Luka Pavlovic has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez won against Luka Pavlovic?
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luka Pavlovic - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez were as follows:
02.04.2026
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
-
Luka Pavlovic
2:1
09.04.2025
Luka Pavlovic
-
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
2:0
Latest results of Luka Pavlovic
Latest results of Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
