Result
0:1 OT
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.24 | 1.21 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/32) | 5.88% (1/17) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.12% (16/17) | 100% (32/32) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 100% (6/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 34 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.03 | 53.97 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 01:55, Pyke G. (2 min),
- 03:24, Jandric S. (2 min),
- 12:04, Gelinas E. (2 min),
- 12:11, Raanta A. ↓, Salonen D. ↑,
- 15:10, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
- 15:10, Peters A. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 01:21, Nikkila P. (2 min),
- 05:59, Gelinas E. (2 min),
- 05:59, Nikkila P. (2 min),
- 19:53, Nikkila P. (2 min),
- 19:53, Beaucage A. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 02:47, Haapanen T. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 00:47, 0 - 1, Ruohomaa M. (G), Stenqvist J. (A), Beaucage A. (A2)
Chances of winning
HPK
39.2% | Draw
24.6% | Lukko
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
HPK - Lukko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(2.54) |
3.73 ↑
(3.63) |
2.58 ↑
(2.49) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 1.
- Recent performances by HPK have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lukko has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- HPK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that HPK will win today's game, with odds of 2.53.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 34:61. (average 1.7:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 2.2:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Lukko?
HPK has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against HPK?
Lukko has won 9 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - Lukko were as follows:
20.12.2025
Lukko
-
HPK
4:2
29.11.2025
HPK
-
Lukko
1:2
19.09.2025
Lukko
-
HPK
6:0
15.08.2025
Lukko
-
HPK
1:2
15.03.2025
Lukko
-
HPK
6:1
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
