Result
4:1
24/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.61 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 33 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 23 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.79% (4/29) | 3.03% (1/33) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.97% (32/33) | 89.29% (25/28) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 51.79 | 48.21 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 12:38, 1 - 0, Wright C. (G),
- 19:44, Hakulinen A. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 05:48, Westerholm Po. (2 min),
- 06:16, 2 - 0, Paivarinta S. (G), Wright C. (A), Nikkila P. (A2)
- 15:33, 3 - 0, Caron T. (G), Kiiskinen J. (A), Kainulainen H. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 09:17, Ford C. (2 min),
- 13:27, Jokirinne V. (2 min),
- 14:43, 3 - 1, Stenqvist J. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Beaucage A. (A2)
- 16:37, 4 - 1, Hakulinen A. (G), Wright C. (A), Kukkonen M. (A2)
Chances of winning
HPK
32.8% | Draw
25.3% | Lukko
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
HPK - Lukko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↑
(2.84) |
3.76 ↓
(3.88) |
2.25 ↑
(2.17) |
5.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
What is the prediction for HPK - Lukko?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Lukko (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Lukko (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Lukko (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Lukko (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.75 - Lukko (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Lukko (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5, OT - Lukko (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5, OT - Lukko (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Lukko (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -2 - Lukko (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Lukko (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Lukko (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Lukko (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Lukko (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Lukko (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Lukko (votes: 15 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Hameenlinna leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Lukko has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 35:53. (average 1.8:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 2.1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Lukko?
HPK has won 9 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against HPK?
Lukko has won 11 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - Lukko were as follows:
23.03.2026
Lukko
-
HPK
1:3
21.03.2026
HPK
-
Lukko
2:0
20.03.2026
Lukko
-
HPK
2:1
31.01.2026
HPK
-
Lukko
0:1
20.12.2025
Lukko
-
HPK
4:2
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 2 : 1 |
