Result
6:0
19/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.18 | 1.85 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 20.69% (6/29) | 0% (0/23) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 100% (23/23) | 79.31% (23/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 60% (3/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 45.28 | 54.72 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 15:51, 1 - 0, Tuuva L. (G), Valila A. (A), Jandric S. (A2)
- 18:54, Jandric S. (Penalty Shot),
- 2nd Period (4 - 0)
- 02:48, Loponen M. (2 min),
- 03:21, 2 - 0, Krannila J. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Stenqvist J. (A2)
- 07:09, Kangas K. (2 min),
- 09:39, 3 - 0, Haapanen T. (G), Ikonen H. (A), Joki A. (A2)
- 11:05, Sertti L. (2 min),
- 11:21, 4 - 0, Beaucage A. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Krannila J. (A2)
- 13:40, Ruohomaa M. (2 min),
- 18:54, 5 - 0, Ikonen H. (G), Haapanen T. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 04:07, Rautiainen T. (2 min),
- 04:07, Wright C. (2 min),
- 10:04, 6 - 0, Jandric S. (G),
- 14:31, Vesterinen R. (Penalty Shot),
- 15:35, Joki A. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Lukko
56.2% | Draw
21.2% | HPK
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)The ML Model estimate for Lukko aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Lukko - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.72) |
4.47 ↑
(4.45) |
4.16 ↑
(3.91) |
6.2%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Lukko - HPK?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lukko will win (votes: 2 - 50%). HPK will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- HPK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lukko has had a series of away games.
- Recently, HPK has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Lukko is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 59:37. (average 3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 2.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against HPK?
Lukko has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Lukko?
HPK has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - HPK were as follows:
15.08.2025
Lukko
-
HPK
1:2
15.03.2025
Lukko
-
HPK
6:1
04.01.2025
HPK
-
Lukko
3:5
01.11.2024
HPK
-
Lukko
0:4
11.10.2024
Lukko
-
HPK
5:0
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
| 5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
| 7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
| 8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
