Result
4:2
20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 2.19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 17.39% (4/23) | 9.09% (2/22) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.91% (20/22) | 82.61% (19/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 20% (1/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 60% (3/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 47.06 | 52.94 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 01:24, 1 - 0, Haapanen T. (G), Westerholm Pa. (A),
- 05:45, Jokirinne V. (2 min),
- 06:29, 2 - 0, Beaucage A. (G), Gelinas E. (A), Stenqvist J. (A2)
- 07:52, Hamalainen L. (2 min),
- 09:48, Peters A. (2 min),
- 16:09, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
- 17:05, Beaucage A. (2 min),
- 18:31, 2 - 1, Huttunen H. (G), Eronen E. (A), Karhunen T. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 00:33, 3 - 1, Beaucage A. (G), Intonen A. (A), Jandric S. (A2)
- 05:52, Viitasalo N. (2 min),
- 15:49, Makinen I. (2 min),
- 16:53, 4 - 1, Jandric S. (G), Stenqvist J. (A), Gelinas E. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 02:25, 4 - 2, Kopiloff O. (G), Boscq J. (A), Pulli T. (A2)
- 07:30, Eronen E. (2 min),
- 11:01, Pulakka V. (2 min),
- 17:39, Wright C. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Lukko
50.9% | Draw
23.9% | HPK
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lukko - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.88) |
3.83 ↑
(3.45) |
3.73 ↓
(4.29) |
7.4%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Lukko - HPK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lukko (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lukko will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 4.
- Recent performances by Lukko have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- HPK is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lukko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lukko is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Lukko will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 58:34. (average 2.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:12. (average 3.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against HPK?
Lukko has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Lukko?
HPK has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - HPK were as follows:
29.11.2025
HPK
-
Lukko
1:2
19.09.2025
Lukko
-
HPK
6:0
15.08.2025
Lukko
-
HPK
1:2
15.03.2025
Lukko
-
HPK
6:1
04.01.2025
HPK
-
Lukko
3:5
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 36 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 128:84 | 72 |
| 2 | Lukko | 36 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 112:90 | 66 |
| 3 | JYP | 34 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 128:99 | 66 |
| 4 | SaiPa | 37 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 125:102 | 65 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 36 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 125:97 | 63 |
| 6 | Ilves | 36 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 114:98 | 63 |
| 7 | Assat | 36 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 106:89 | 62 |
| 8 | KalPa | 35 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 107:114 | 56 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 37 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 97:111 | 50 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 37 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 86:102 | 48 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 36 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 83:115 | 47 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 36 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 82:96 | 46 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 35 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 69:88 | 45 |
| 14 | Karpat | 37 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 115:124 | 42 |
| 15 | Hameenlinna | 38 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 91:113 | 42 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 36 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 73:119 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
