Result
6:1
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.78 | 1.01 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 37 | 12 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 16.22% (6/37) | 8.33% (1/12) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.67% (11/12) | 83.78% (31/37) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (5/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 52.73 | 47.27 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (3 - 0)
- 02:33, 1 - 0, Nyman L. (G), Kainulainen H. (A), Ikonen H. (A2)
- 07:57, 2 - 0, Jandric S. (G), Stenqvist J. (A), Morand A. (A2)
- 10:19, (2 min),
- 13:39, Andzans A. (2 min),
- 14:52, 3 - 0, Kuhlman K. (G), Stenqvist J. (A), Viitasalo N. (A2)
- 16:24, Westerholm Po. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (3 - 1)
- 06:51, 4 - 0, Ervasti K. (G), Krannila J. (A), Nousiainen K. (A2)
- 08:40, 5 - 0, Westerholm Po. (G), Westerholm Pa. (A),
- 10:44, Sailio J. (2 min),
- 12:57, 5 - 1, Sailio J. (G), Ruokonen M. (A),
- 15:56, Krannila J. (2 min),
- 17:16, Sinclair M. (2 min),
- 19:14, 6 - 1, Jandric S. (G), Kainulainen H. (A), Kuhlman K. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 02:01, Andzans A. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Lukko
73.9% | Draw
15.1% | HPK
11% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukko's performance.HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HPK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Lukko - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.42) |
6.19 ↑
(4.97) |
8.75 ↑
(5.7) |
6.2%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Lukko is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- HPK is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lukko won 5.
- Lukko in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- HPK is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- HPK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently HPK have a series of home games.
- In this match Lukko is certain favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Lukko to win the game is with odds 1.39.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lukko won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 61:37 (average 3.1:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lukko won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 31:16 (average 3.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against HPK?
Lukko has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Lukko?
HPK has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - HPK were as follows:
04.01.2025
HPK
-
Lukko
3:5
01.11.2024
HPK
-
Lukko
0:4
11.10.2024
Lukko
-
HPK
5:0
28.02.2024
Lukko
-
HPK
3:0
10.02.2024
HPK
-
Lukko
1:5
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
