Result
1:2 penalties
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.55 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5.56% (1/18) | 4.55% (1/22) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.45% (21/22) | 94.44% (17/18) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (0/0) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 41.18 | 58.82 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 18:06, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 15:18, 1 - 0, Korhonen O. (G), Paivarinta S. (A), Kainulainen H. (A2)
- 16:34, 1 - 1, Beaucage A. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Almari N. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- 01', (2 min),
- Penalties (0 - 1)
- 1, (Penalty Shot),
- 1, (Penalty Shot),
- 2, (Penalty Shot),
- 2, (Penalty Shot),
- 3, (Penalty Shot),
- 3, (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Tuuva L. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Kiiskinen J. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
HPK
37% | Draw
25.3% | Lukko
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
HPK - Lukko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↓
(2.67) |
3.69 ↑
(3.58) |
2.49 ↑
(2.47) |
6.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lukko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, HPK has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- We predict that HPK will win today's game, with odds of 2.51.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 37:59. (average 1.9:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 2.3:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Lukko?
HPK has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against HPK?
Lukko has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - Lukko were as follows:
19.09.2025
Lukko
-
HPK
6:0
15.08.2025
Lukko
-
HPK
1:2
15.03.2025
Lukko
-
HPK
6:1
04.01.2025
HPK
-
Lukko
3:5
01.11.2024
HPK
-
Lukko
0:4
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 106:71 | 60 |
| 2 | Assat | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 95:77 | 55 |
| 3 | Lukko | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 94:76 | 55 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 30 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 103:81 | 53 |
| 5 | JYP | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 104:82 | 52 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 103:81 | 52 |
| 7 | KalPa | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 92:95 | 46 |
| 8 | Ilves | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 81:86 | 44 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 31 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 81:91 | 44 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 32 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 75:82 | 43 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60:69 | 41 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69:85 | 39 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 63:100 | 37 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 30 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 73:83 | 37 |
| 15 | Karpat | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 92:103 | 33 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 28 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63:92 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
