Tappara vs Lukko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Tappara - Lukko
Result
4:0
30/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.343.83
Shots on Goal
2435
Shots off target
814
Shooting PCT
16.67% (4/24)0% (0/35)
Blocked Shots
1713
Goalkeeper Saves
3520
Saves PCT
100% (35/35)83.33% (20/24)
Penalties
35
PIM
610
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/5)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)100% (5/5)
Faceoffs Won
3222
Faceoffs %
59.2640.74
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 08:00, Blichfeld J. (2 min),
  • 18:03, 1 - 0, Blichfeld J. (G), Piiparinen J. (A), Tuulola J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 0)
  • 01:38, 2 - 0, Tuulola E. (G), Rautiainen B. (A), Tuulola J. (A2)
  • 04:07, Korkka O. (2 min),
  • 05:53, Joki A. (2 min),
  • 11:21, 3 - 0, Tuulola J. (G), Rautiainen B. (A), Piiparinen J. (A2)
  • 14:08, Piiparinen J. (2 min),
  • 15:20, Tuulola E. (2 min),
  • 18:00, 4 - 0, Matinmikko A. (G), Blichfeld J. (A), Tanus K. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • 10:57, Salonen D. (2 min),
  • 15:11, (2 min),
  • 18:38, (2 min),
  • 19:12, Westerholm Po. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Tappara
46.1%
Draw
22.3%
Lukko
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 24.6% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 24.7% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Tappara - Lukko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.99)
    4.24
    (3.77)
    2.96
    (3.24)
    6%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Tappara - Lukko?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tappara will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tappara (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Tappara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 67:47. (average 3.4:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:26. (average 4:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - Lukko were as follows:
    10.09.2025 Lukko - Tappara 1:4
    18.01.2025 Tappara - Lukko 2:4
    17.01.2025 Lukko - Tappara 3:2
    23.11.2024 Lukko - Tappara 3:4
    12.10.2024 Tappara - Lukko 4:2
    Latest results of Tappara
    27.09.2025 Tappara - Kärpät 3:2
    26.09.2025 JYP - Tappara 4:3
    23.09.2025 Tappara - TPS 1:2
    19.09.2025 Tappara - KalPa 8:1
    17.09.2025 SaiPa - Tappara 2:3
    Latest results of Lukko
    27.09.2025 Lukko - Kiekko-Espoo 3:2
    26.09.2025 Kiekko-Espoo - Lukko 4:2
    24.09.2025 Kärpät - Lukko 5:7
    20.09.2025 Ilves - Lukko 6:3
    19.09.2025 Lukko - HPK 6:0
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat11800339:2324
    2JYP12800447:3624
    3SaiPa13621444:3523
    4KooKoo13620546:4122
    5Tappara12700539:2821
    6Kiekko-Espoo13603436:3521
    7Lukko13610635:3420
    8Jukurit13610634:3920
    9KalPa11431333:3419
    10TPS Turku12422429:2818
    11Hameenlinna12422432:3418
    12Karpat13501745:4516
    13Vaasan Sport13402734:4014
    14Pelicans12223523:3413
    15Ilves13311831:4512
    16IFK Helsinki12311725:4112

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