Result
6:2
13/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.03 | 2.58 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 31.58% (6/19) | 6.45% (2/31) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 93.55% (29/31) | 72.22% (13/18) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 45.83 | 54.17 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (3 - 1)
- 00:29, 1 - 0, Keskinen O. (G), Tanus K. (A),
- 03:29, 2 - 0, Keskinen O. (G), Tanus K. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
- 09:25, 3 - 0, Brickley D. (G), Andersson J. (A), Mattila Ju. (A2)
- 16:34, 3 - 1, Ruohomaa M. (G),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 07:58, 4 - 1, Simontaival K. (G), Keskinen O. (A), Tanus K. (A2)
- 13:11, Matinmikko A. (2 min),
- 16:53, 4 - 2, Ikonen H. (G), Westerholm Pa. (A), Daschke D. (A2)
- 18:46, Stenqvist J. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 06:58, Saarela A. (2 min),
- 10:45, Daschke D. (2 min),
- 11:22, 5 - 2, Rasanen A. (G), Tuulola E. (A), Blichfeld J. (A2)
- 13:33, Jokipakka J. (2 min),
- 17:21, 6 - 2, Rautiainen B. (G), Blichfeld J. (A), Rasanen A. (A2)
Chances of winning
Tappara
54.4% | Draw
21.7% | Lukko
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tappara's performance.Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tappara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tappara - Lukko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.85) |
4.3 ↑
(3.8) |
3.92 ↑
(3.1) |
7.5%
(12.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Tappara - Lukko?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tappara will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Lukko will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Tappara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lukko has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Tappara is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 66:42. (average 3.3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:24. (average 4:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against Lukko?
Tappara has won 11 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against Tappara?
Lukko has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - Lukko were as follows:
14.02.2026
Lukko
-
Tappara
1:4
30.09.2025
Tappara
-
Lukko
4:0
10.09.2025
Lukko
-
Tappara
1:4
18.01.2025
Tappara
-
Lukko
2:4
17.01.2025
Lukko
-
Tappara
3:2
Latest results of Tappara
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 1 : 1 |
