Result
1:4
14/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 2.90 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 4.55% (1/22) | 16% (4/25) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 87.5% (21/24) | 95.45% (21/22) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50.94 | 49.06 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 15:09, 1 - 0, Gelinas E. (G),
- 17:35, Jandric S. (2 min),
- 17:35, Andersson J. (2 min),
- 18:12, Pavel O. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 08:10, Intonen A. (2 min),
- 10:12, 1 - 1, Simontaival K. (G), Mattila Je. (A), Juolevi O. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 3)
- 02:54, 1 - 2, Keskinen O. (G), Matinmikko A. (A), Tanus K. (A2)
- 11:20, 1 - 3, Rautiainen B. (G), Mattila Ju. (A), Tuulola J. (A2)
- 11:58, Jandric S. (2 min),
- 19:55, 1 - 4, Tuulola E. (G), Matinmikko A. (A),
Chances of winning
Lukko
38.2% | Draw
23.9% | Tappara
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Lukko - Tappara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.22) |
3.89 ↓
(4.01) |
2.48 ↓
(2.61) |
7.3%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Lukko - Tappara?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lukko will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tappara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Lukko (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lukko (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 2.
- Lukko is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Tappara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lukko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tappara has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- We predict that Lukko will win today's game, with odds of 2.52.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 45:67. (average 2.3:3.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 2.1:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against Tappara?
Lukko has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against Lukko?
Tappara has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - Tappara were as follows:
30.09.2025
Tappara
-
Lukko
4:0
10.09.2025
Lukko
-
Tappara
1:4
18.01.2025
Tappara
-
Lukko
2:4
17.01.2025
Lukko
-
Tappara
3:2
23.11.2024
Lukko
-
Tappara
3:4
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
