Result
13/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Chances of winning
Tappara
53.8% | Draw
22.1% | Lukko
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tappara's performance.Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tappara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tappara - Lukko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.85) |
4.21 ↑
(3.8) |
3.78 ↑
(3.1) |
7.3%
(12.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Tappara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lukko has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Tappara is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 66:42. (average 3.3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:24. (average 4:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against Lukko?
Tappara has won 11 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against Tappara?
Lukko has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - Lukko were as follows:
14.02.2026
Lukko
-
Tappara
1:4
30.09.2025
Tappara
-
Lukko
4:0
10.09.2025
Lukko
-
Tappara
1:4
18.01.2025
Tappara
-
Lukko
2:4
17.01.2025
Lukko
-
Tappara
3:2
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
