Lukko vs Tappara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Lukko - Tappara
Result
1:4
10/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.504.62
Shots on Goal
2825
Shots off target
1516
Shooting PCT
3.57% (1/28)16% (4/25)
Blocked Shots
813
Goalkeeper Saves
2127
Saves PCT
84% (21/25)96.43% (27/28)
Penalties
44
PIM
88
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (4/4)
Faceoffs Won
2036
Faceoffs %
35.7164.29
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 03:31, Beaucage A. (2 min),
  • 08:36, Mattila J. (2 min),
  • 19:35, Rasanen A. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 3)
  • 02:28, Intonen A. (2 min),
  • 07:13, 0 - 1, Suvanto O. (G), Rautiainen B. (A), Mattila J. (A2)
  • 08:10, Jandric S. (2 min),
  • 08:52, 0 - 2, Simontaival K. (G), Rautiainen B. (A), Rasanen A. (A2)
  • 10:47, 0 - 3, Rauhala O. (G), Suvanto O. (A), Sylvegard E. (A2)
  • 12:33, Pavel O. (2 min),
  • 16:01, Tuulola J. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 05:50, Haapanen T. (2 min),
  • 13:11, 1 - 3, Intonen A. (G), Morand A. (A), Tuuva L. (A2)
  • 19:47, 1 - 4, Sylvegard E. (G), Rauhala O. (A),

Chances of winning


Lukko
46.3%
Draw
22.8%
Tappara
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 22.9% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2% 23.6% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Lukko - Tappara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.05)
    4.08
    (4.1)
    3.03
    (3)
    6.4%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
  • What is the prediction for Lukko - Tappara?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lukko will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tappara will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tappara (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 2.
    • In recent matches, Lukko has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tappara is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tappara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tappara has had a series of away games.
    • Lukko might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 48:64. (average 2.4:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 2.2:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - Tappara were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Tappara - Lukko 2:4
    17.01.2025 Lukko - Tappara 3:2
    23.11.2024 Lukko - Tappara 3:4
    12.10.2024 Tappara - Lukko 4:2
    05.03.2024 Tappara - Lukko 5:3
    Latest results of Lukko
    05.09.2025 Eisbären Berlin - Lukko 2:6
    31.08.2025 Lukko - Bolzano 3:4
    29.08.2025 Lukko - Lausanne HC 4:1
    21.08.2025 Ässät - Lukko 1:7
    Latest results of Tappara
    04.09.2025 HPK - Tappara 2:3
    29.08.2025 Kärpät - Tappara 4:3
    22.08.2025 Tappara - Jokerit 3:2
    20.08.2025 Nokian Pyry - Tappara 5:6
    16.08.2025 Kölner Haie - Tappara 0:2
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1TPS Turku7411117:1315
    2Kiekko-Espoo7402121:1614
    3Assat5400122:1012
    4Tappara5400121:912
    5JYP5400123:1412
    6Lukko6300322:199
    7KooKoo6210319:228
    8KalPa6210319:258
    9SaiPa6201319:207
    10Pelicans6112212:167
    11Vaasan Sport6200414:156
    12Karpat5200315:186
    13Jukurit5200312:186
    14Hameenlinna5111210:166
    15Ilves6110417:235
    16IFK Helsinki6110414:235

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