Result
0:2
10/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Mancini S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ghillani A. ↓, Rocca M. ↑,
- 61', Mancini S. 🟨,
- 63', Rocca M. 🟨,
- 65', 0 - 2, Caccavo L. ⚽,
- 66', Tremolada M. ↓, Dore S. ↑,
- 72', Aidoo M. 🟨,
- 72', Jaouhari Z. ↓, Pessolani G. ↑,
- 73', Aidoo M. ↓, Di Gesu E. ↑,
- 74', Mancini S. ↓, Ferro M. ↑,
- 74', Pagliari M. ↓, Motta M. ↑,
- 82', Stivanello R. ↓, Rihai A. ↑,
- 83', Pala A. ↓, Antolini J. ↑,
- 86', Caccavo L. ↓, Donnarumma A. ↑,
- 87', Padalino A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Ferro M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pergolettese
40.1% | Draw
30.6% | Lumezzane
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lumezzane might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lumezzane could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pergolettese - Lumezzane Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.54) |
2.98 ↓
(3.42) |
3.11 ↑
(2.49) |
9.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Pergolettese - Lumezzane?
Users Predictions:
Lumezzane will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 3.
- Recent form of Pergolettese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lumezzane has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pergolettese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pergolettese won against Lumezzane?
Pergolettese has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lumezzane won against Pergolettese?
Lumezzane has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pergolettese - Lumezzane were as follows:
31.08.2025
Lumezzane
-
Pergolettese
2:3
13.03.2025
Pergolettese
-
Lumezzane
1:0
29.10.2024
Lumezzane
-
Pergolettese
0:2
14.01.2024
Pergolettese
-
Lumezzane
0:1
10.09.2023
Lumezzane
-
Pergolettese
1:0
Latest results of Pergolettese
Latest results of Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 51:18 | 33 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 3 | Trento | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Renate | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Lecco | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 50 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 30:18 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 42 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Novara | 30 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Giana Erminio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | AlbinoLeffe | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ospitaletto | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 34 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 27:48 | -21 | 32 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 | Triestina | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
