Lumezzane vs Pergolettese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Lumezzane - Pergolettese
Result
2:3
31/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
812
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Rolando M. ,
  • 18', Benvenuto M. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Parker S. ,
  • 42', 1 - 2, Careccia S. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Benvenuto M. , Bane A. ,
  • 46', Pagliari M. , Motta M. ,
  • 46', Corti N. , Pessolani G. ,
  • 63', Dore S. , Tremolada M. ,
  • 64', Caccavo L. , Donnarumma A. ,
  • 64', Iori M. , Ghillani A. ,
  • 64', Scanzi M. , D'Agostino S. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Ghillani A. ,
  • 72', Bane A. 🟨,
  • 75', Ferrandino D. , Tomaselli G. ,
  • 84', Rolando M. , Napolitano G. ,
  • 84', Parker S. , Sartori F. ,
  • 87', Tomaselli G. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Tremolada M. ,
  • 90+6', Filigheddu S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lumezzane
25.3%
Draw
34.3%
Pergolettese
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 29.3% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 29.1% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lumezzane's form might have worsened.
  • Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pergolettese's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lumezzane, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pergolettese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lumezzane - Pergolettese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.07
    (2.27)
    3.01
    (3.1)
    2.56
    (2.96)
    -3.1%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Lumezzane has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Pergolettese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lumezzane won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lumezzane - Pergolettese were as follows:
    13.03.2025 Pergolettese - Lumezzane 1:0
    29.10.2024 Lumezzane - Pergolettese 0:2
    14.01.2024 Pergolettese - Lumezzane 0:1
    10.09.2023 Lumezzane - Pergolettese 1:0
    Latest results of Lumezzane
    24.08.2025 Vicenza Virtus - Lumezzane 5:0
    16.08.2025 Lumezzane - Inter U23 1:2
    09.08.2025 Lumezzane - Mantova 1:1
    03.08.2025 Lumezzane - Pro Palazzolo 1:3
    31.07.2025 Lumezzane - Breno 1:1
    Latest results of Pergolettese
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza1091021:41728
    2Brescia1173120:61424
    3Lecco1173115:6924
    4Inter U231054116:10619
    5Alcione Milano1052311:7417
    6Renate1134411:14-313
    7Pro Vercelli1041510:14-413
    8Pergolettese1033410:12-212
    9AlbinoLeffe1133517:18-112
    10Trento1026212:13-112
    11Cittadella103347:9-212
    12Virtus Verona1125415:15011
    13Novara111828:9-111
    14Giana Erminio102536:10-411
    15Arzignano1124514:18-410
    16Dolomiti Bellunesi1024410:17-710
    17Ospitaletto1023510:14-49
    18Lumezzane1122712:21-98
    19Pro Patria101458:17-97
    20Triestina1034310:91-7

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
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          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation