Lumezzane vs Pergolettese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Lumezzane - Pergolettese
Result
2:3
31/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
812
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Rolando M. ,
  • 18', Benvenuto M. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Parker S. ,
  • 42', 1 - 2, Careccia S. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Benvenuto M. , Bane A. ,
  • 46', Pagliari M. , Motta M. ,
  • 46', Corti N. , Pessolani G. ,
  • 63', Dore S. , Tremolada M. ,
  • 64', Caccavo L. , Donnarumma A. ,
  • 64', Iori M. , Ghillani A. ,
  • 64', Scanzi M. , D'Agostino S. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Ghillani A. ,
  • 72', Bane A. 🟨,
  • 75', Ferrandino D. , Tomaselli G. ,
  • 84', Rolando M. , Napolitano G. ,
  • 84', Parker S. , Sartori F. ,
  • 87', Tomaselli G. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Tremolada M. ,
  • 90+6', Filigheddu S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lumezzane
25.3%
Draw
34.3%
Pergolettese
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 29.3% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 29.1% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lumezzane's form might have worsened.
  • Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pergolettese's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lumezzane, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pergolettese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lumezzane - Pergolettese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.07
    (2.27)
    3.01
    (3.1)
    2.56
    (2.96)
    -3.1%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Lumezzane has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Pergolettese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lumezzane won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lumezzane - Pergolettese were as follows:
    13.03.2025 Pergolettese - Lumezzane 1:0
    29.10.2024 Lumezzane - Pergolettese 0:2
    14.01.2024 Pergolettese - Lumezzane 0:1
    10.09.2023 Lumezzane - Pergolettese 1:0
    Latest results of Lumezzane
    24.08.2025 Vicenza Virtus - Lumezzane 5:0
    16.08.2025 Lumezzane - Inter U23 1:2
    09.08.2025 Lumezzane - Mantova 1:1
    03.08.2025 Lumezzane - Pro Palazzolo 1:3
    31.07.2025 Lumezzane - Breno 1:1
    Latest results of Pergolettese
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza761015:21319
    2Lecco752011:3817
    3Brescia742115:51014
    4Inter U23742111:6514
    5Alcione Milano74218:4414
    6AlbinoLeffe732215:12311
    7Pergolettese73139:9010
    8Virtus Verona723211:929
    9Pro Vercelli73046:13-79
    10Arzignano722310:12-28
    11Renate72238:12-48
    12Trento71428:10-27
    13Dolomiti Bellunesi71428:11-37
    14Lumezzane72057:13-66
    15Giana Erminio71334:9-56
    16Novara70526:8-25
    17Ospitaletto71245:9-45
    18Cittadella71244:8-45
    19Pro Patria70345:13-83
    20Triestina73229:72-9

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation