Result
2:1
03/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Bane A. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Auriletto S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Lambrughi A. 🟨,
- 65', Bane A. ↓, Capoferri M. ↑,
- 65', Dore S. ↓, Corti N. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 0, Spedalieri J. ⚽,
- 76', Karlsson O. ↓, Spalluto S. ↑,
- 77', Corti N. 🟨,
- 79', Ferrandino D. ↓, Pepa N. ↑,
- 79', Aidoo M. ↓, Pala A. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Arini M. ⚽,
- 81', 🟨,
- 86', Vassallo F. 🟨,
- 89', Careccia S. ↓, Tremolada M. ↑,
- 89', Lambrughi A. ↓, Tomaselli G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Renate
45.6% | Draw
31.6% | Pergolettese
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Renate - Pergolettese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.97) |
2.87 ↓
(2.98) |
3.99 ↓
(4.11) |
10.1%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Renate - Pergolettese?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Renate (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renate won 4.
- Renate has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pergolettese is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Renate is considered a favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Renate won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Renate won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Renate won against Pergolettese?
Renate has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pergolettese won against Renate?
Pergolettese has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Renate - Pergolettese were as follows:
24.08.2025
Pergolettese
-
Renate
0:1
16.08.2025
Pergolettese
-
Renate
1:2
18.04.2025
Renate
-
Pergolettese
2:1
07.12.2024
Pergolettese
-
Renate
0:1
20.01.2024
Renate
-
Pergolettese
1:5
Latest results of Pergolettese
Draw
Play Offs1/32-finals| 1 | Trento | Giana Erminio | |
| 2 | Cittadella | Arzignano | |
| 3 | Lumezzane | Alcione Milano | |
| 4 | Juventus U23 | Vis Pesaro | |
| 5 | Pianese | Ternana | |
| 6 | Pineto | Gubbio | |
| 7 | Casertana | Atalanta U23 | |
| 8 | Crotone | Audace Cerignola | |
| 9 | Monopoli | Casarano | |
