Result
2:1
20/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Kategoria e Parë - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Shamsaldin A. ⚽,
- 8', 1 - 1, Canka M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 86', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kastrioti
64.8% | Draw
20.6% | Lushnja
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kastrioti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kastrioti's performance.Lushnja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lushnja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (-15.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kastrioti that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lushnja than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lushnja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kastrioti - Lushnja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.93) |
4.4 ↑
(3.5) |
6.16 ↑
(3.32) |
10.5%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ) and 10 in the zone Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 1.
- In recent matches, Kastrioti has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lushnja's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Kastrioti is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kastrioti won against Lushnja?
Kastrioti has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lushnja won against Kastrioti?
Lushnja has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kastrioti - Lushnja were as follows:
04.10.2025
Lushnja
-
Kastrioti
3:2
15.02.2025
Lushnja
-
Kastrioti
1:0
11.09.2024
Kastrioti
-
Lushnja
2:1
04.05.2024
Lushnja
-
Kastrioti
0:0
11.02.2024
Kastrioti
-
Lushnja
1:1
Latest results of Kastrioti
Latest results of Lushnja
Albanian First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Skenderbeu | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 50:23 | 27 | 67 |
| 2 | Laci | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 64 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 52:23 | 29 | 61 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 38 |
| 5 | Kastrioti | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 6 | Burreli | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 33 |
| 7 | Korabi Peshkopi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Besa Kavaje | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 34:37 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Apolonia Fier | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:34 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Kukesi | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 24:41 | -17 | 24 |
| 11 | AF Luftetari | 28 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 26:38 | -12 | 22 |
| 12 | Lushnja | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23:38 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Relegation
