Result
3:1
21/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Kategoria e Parë - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Preknicaj K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 79', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 81', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 83', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pogradeci
65.3% | Draw
22.8% | Lushnja
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogradeci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Lushnja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogradeci, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lushnja than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Pogradeci - Lushnja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.35) |
3.97 ↓
(4.53) |
7.64 ↓
(7.95) |
10.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogradeci won 1.
- Pogradeci is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lushnja is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Pogradeci is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Pogradeci will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pogradeci won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogradeci won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogradeci won against Lushnja?
Pogradeci has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lushnja won against Pogradeci?
Lushnja has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogradeci - Lushnja were as follows:
24.08.2025
Pogradeci
-
Lushnja
0:0
28.02.2025
Pogradeci
-
Lushnja
2:2
25.11.2024
Pogradeci
-
Lushnja
1:0
30.08.2024
Lushnja
-
Pogradeci
1:0
Latest results of Pogradeci
Latest results of Lushnja
Albanian First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Skenderbeu | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 50:23 | 27 | 67 |
| 2 | Laci | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 64 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 52:23 | 29 | 61 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 38 |
| 5 | Kastrioti | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 6 | Burreli | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 33 |
| 7 | Korabi Peshkopi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Besa Kavaje | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 34:37 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Apolonia Fier | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:34 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Kukesi | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 24:41 | -17 | 24 |
| 11 | AF Luftetari | 28 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 26:38 | -12 | 22 |
| 12 | Lushnja | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23:38 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Relegation
