Result
3:1
21/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Kategoria e Parë - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Preknicaj K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 79', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 81', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 83', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pogradeci
65.3% | Draw
22.8% | Lushnja
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogradeci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Lushnja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogradeci, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lushnja than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Pogradeci - Lushnja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.35) |
3.97 ↓
(4.53) |
7.64 ↓
(7.95) |
10.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogradeci won 1.
- Pogradeci is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lushnja is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Pogradeci is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Pogradeci will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pogradeci won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogradeci won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogradeci won against Lushnja?
Pogradeci has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lushnja won against Pogradeci?
Lushnja has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogradeci - Lushnja were as follows:
24.08.2025
Pogradeci
-
Lushnja
0:0
28.02.2025
Pogradeci
-
Lushnja
2:2
25.11.2024
Pogradeci
-
Lushnja
1:0
30.08.2024
Lushnja
-
Pogradeci
1:0
Latest results of Pogradeci
Latest results of Lushnja
Albanian First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Skenderbeu | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 46:23 | 23 | 57 |
| 2 | Laci | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 41:15 | 26 | 54 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 39:20 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 33 |
| 5 | Kastrioti | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Burreli | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19:27 | -8 | 31 |
| 7 | Besa Kavaje | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 9 | Apolonia Fier | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 22:29 | -7 | 24 |
| 10 | Lushnja | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 20 |
| 11 | AF Luftetari | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 24:35 | -11 | 19 |
| 12 | Kukesi | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:39 | -20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Relegation
