Belenenses vs Lusitânia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Belenenses - Lusitânia
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
83
Yellow Cards
25
Total shots
136
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
83
Goalkeeper Saves
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Pereira R. (Pen),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Joao Vasco , Pereira M. (A),
  • 35', Arsenio 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', 🟨,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 62', Horta Leitao D. , Ekanga Ondoa H. O. ,
  • 64', 🟨,
  • 65', Arsenio , Ribeiro S. ,
  • 65', Joao Vasco , Avto ,
  • 66', Mesquita T. , Castro D. ,
  • 71', Tavares J. , Cuca ,
  • 71', Teixeira M. , Pereira D. ,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 84', Tokinho Doria , Martins H. ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 87', Pinto A. , Carvalho R. ,
  • 87', Morgado T. , Acosta Pinerez C. A. ,
  • 87', Sambu M. , Fernandes X. ,
  • 90+4', Martins H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Belenenses
49.6%
Draw
27.7%
Lusitânia
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 30.7% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 29.6% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belenenses's performance.
  • Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Belenenses - Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.13)
    3.31
    (2.99)
    4.04
    (3.5)
    9%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Lusitânia is Qualified for Liga Portugal 2
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • In this match, Belenenses is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Lusitânia were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Lusitânia - Belenenses 1:0
    Latest results of Belenenses
    10.05.2025 Amarante - Belenenses 1:4
    04.05.2025 Belenenses - Fafe 3:2
    26.04.2025 Varzim - Belenenses 0:0
    13.04.2025 Belenenses - 1 Dezembro 2:0
    Latest results of Lusitânia
    10.05.2025 Lusitânia - Atlético CP 2:0
    03.05.2025 Lusitânia - 1 Dezembro 2:1
    26.04.2025 Amarante - Lusitânia 1:1
    20.04.2025 Lusitânia - Fafe 2:1
    12.04.2025 Varzim - Lusitânia 4:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Varzim22005:056
    2Trofense31202:025
    3Sanjoanense21102:024
    4Amarante21013:303
    5Braga B21011:2-13
    6AD Marco 0920200:002
    7Paredes30211:2-12
    8Vitoria Guimaraes B20112:3-11
    9AD Fafe20111:3-21
    10Sao Joao Ver20110:4-41


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    11u00ba Dezembro32103:127
    2Os Belenenses32103:127
    3Caldas22003:126
    4Santarem31112:204
    5Amora31111:104
    6Lusitano GC31024:313
    7Academica21012:203
    8Covilha30122:4-21
    9Mafra20112:5-31
    10Atletico CP20020:2-20

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