Result
2:2
26/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Afonso A. ⚽,
- 45+5', 1 - 1, Rodrigues D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Almeida F. ↓, Arome ↑,
- 66', Mendes F. 🟨,
- 71', Mendes F. 🟥,
- 72', 1 - 2, Bruninho (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+9', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amarante
28.3% | Draw
34.3% | Belenenses
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Amarante - Belenenses Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↓
(3.29) |
2.69 ↑
(2.46) |
2.47 ↓
(2.65) |
8.3%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Belenenses may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Amarante won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Amarante won against Belenenses?
Amarante has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Amarante?
Belenenses has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amarante - Belenenses were as follows:
01.03.2026
Belenenses
-
Amarante
1:2
10.05.2025
Amarante
-
Belenenses
1:4
15.03.2025
Belenenses
-
Amarante
0:0
Latest results of Amarante
Latest results of Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Academica | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Mafra | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 13 |
| 6 | Varzim | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 7 | Santarem | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 8 | Trofense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
