Result
1:2
29/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 20
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Platiny ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
- 29', Silverio 🟨,
- 40', Figueiredo M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', Cerveira T. 🟨,
- 61', Vitor Hugo 🟨,
- 63', Figueiredo M. ↓, de Sousa T. ↑,
- 63', Silverio ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
- 63', Cerveira T. ↓, Danny ↑,
- 68', Rego J. 🟨,
- 69', Silva F. ↓, Edokpolor P. ↑,
- 69', Neto J. ↓, Tome O. ↑,
- 73', Faria B. 🟨,
- 77', Joao Vasco ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 77', Faria B. ↓, Mesquita T. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 1, Tiago Dias ⚽, Pereira M. (A),
- 84', Pinto K. ↓, Trevisan J. ↑,
- 84', Ferreira M. ↓, Moreira G. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 2, Pereira M. ⚽, Tiago Dias (A),
- 90', Tokinho Doria 🟨,
- 90+2', Silva J. 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 2, Prioste D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Benfica B
42.3% | Draw
28.9% | Lusitânia
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica B's form might have worsened.Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-4%)
Benfica B - Lusitânia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(1.93) |
3.21 ↓
(3.55) |
3.19 ↓
(3.69) |
8.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Benfica B - Lusitânia?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Lusitânia will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica B: 40% – 93.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica B (votes: 4 - 50%). Lusitânia (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Benfica B (1.50) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH 0 - Benfica B (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica B (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Lusitânia (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).
- Benfica B is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lusitânia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Benfica B could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Benfica B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica B won against Lusitânia?
Benfica B has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Benfica B?
Lusitânia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica B - Lusitânia were as follows:
25.08.2025
Lusitânia
-
Benfica B
1:1
Latest results of Benfica B
Latest results of Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 4 | Leiria | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Vizela | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 44 |
| 6 | FC Porto B | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 37:36 | 1 | 42 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Sporting CP B | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 41:30 | 11 | 41 |
| 9 | Feirense | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Chaves | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31:29 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Lusitania FC | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:50 | -15 | 38 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 35 |
| 14 | Felgueiras | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
