Oliveirense vs Lusitânia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
02/05/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32
  • Referee: Melo F. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
31
Corner kicks
56
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
126
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
95
Corner kicks
56
Offsides
30
Free kicks
2214
Throw ins
2126
Fouls
1121

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Teixeira M. , Tokinho Doria ,
  • 26', Rocha L. 🟨,
  • 36', Brito T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Silva J. , Joao Vasco ,
  • 61', Martins R. , Platiny ,
  • 71', Bastos L. , Joanderson ,
  • 71', Brito T. , Pereira D. ,
  • 83', Sabino , Martelo P. ,
  • 84', Fabinho , Mimito ,
  • 89', Douglas Borel 🟨,
  • 90', Rocha L. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Oliveirense
42.4%
Draw
27.3%
Lusitânia
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 27.6% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 26.8% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oliveirense's performance.
  • Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lusitânia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oliveirense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lusitânia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Oliveirense - Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.61)
    3.36
    (3.35)
    3.05
    (2.5)
    8.2%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Oliveirense - Lusitânia?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Oliveirense will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 7).
    • Recent form of Oliveirense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lusitânia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Oliveirense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oliveirense - Lusitânia were as follows:
    22.12.2025 Lusitânia - Oliveirense 0:1
    Latest results of Oliveirense
    27.04.2026 Chaves - Oliveirense 2:1
    22.04.2026 Oliveirense - Benfica B 3:0
    12.04.2026 Leixões - Oliveirense 2:0
    03.04.2026 Oliveirense - Portimonense 1:2
    21.03.2026 Marítimo - Oliveirense 1:0
    Latest results of Lusitânia
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo32206649:252466
    2Academico Viseu32167956:332355
    3Torreense321651140:32853
    4Leiria321310950:43749
    5Vizela321391038:36248
    6Feirense321291134:36-245
    7FC Porto B321361338:42-445
    8Benfica B3211111043:40344
    9Leixoes321351442:53-1144
    10Lusitania FC3211101142:48-643
    11Chaves321261438:37142
    12Sporting CP B321321741:33841
    13Felgueiras3210101228:36-840
    14SC Farense321091330:35-539
    15Penafiel321081435:37-238
    16Portimonense321061637:48-1136
    17Pacos Ferreira328111331:46-1535
    18Oliveirense327101531:43-1231

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