Result
1:1
09/11/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 11
- Referee: Torres M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Silva J. ⚽, Arsenio (A),
- 11', 1 - 1, Daniel Borges ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
- 27', Ze Pedro 🟨,
- 30', Daniel Borges 🟨,
- 32', Maga 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Jair da Silva ↓, Santos J. ↑,
- 63', Fernandez P. ↓, Michel D. ↑,
- 65', Baro M. 🟨,
- 67', Fabinho 🟨,
- 69', Josue Sa ↓, Silverio ↑,
- 69', Teixeira M. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
- 82', Fabinho ↓, Do Marcolino F. ↑,
- 82', Silva J. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
- 82', Daniel Borges ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
- 82', Lottin A. ↓, Pires M. ↑,
- 90+1', Mesquita T. ↓, Braga G. ↑,
- 90+4', van der Gaag J. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 90+7', Tiago Dias 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lusitânia
30% | Draw
30% | Leiria
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lusitânia's form might have worsened.Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leiria's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Lusitânia - Leiria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↑
(2.6) |
3.12 ↑
(3.11) |
2.37 ↓
(2.65) |
6.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lusitânia - Leiria?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Leiria will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 4).
- Recent form of Lusitânia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leiria is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Leiria has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Leiria?
Lusitânia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Lusitânia?
Leiria has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitânia - Leiria were as follows:
Latest results of Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
