Result
0:0
05/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Marcelo 🟨,
- 12', Daniel Borges 🟨,
- 26', Faria B. 🟨,
- 37', Martins R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Rocha L. 🟨,
- 58', Faria B. ↓, Silverio ↑,
- 59', Martins R. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 61', Pires M. 🟨,
- 69', Teixeira M. ↓, Mimito ↑,
- 73', Daniel Borges ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
- 78', Rocha L. ↓, Cerveira T. ↑,
- 78', Fabinho ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
- 81', Jair da Silva ↓, Santos J. ↑,
- 87', Fernandez P. ↓, Sylla H. ↑,
- 87', Baro M. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 88', Munoz J. ↓, Gomes B. ↑,
- 90', Maga 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leiria
50.5% | Draw
27.3% | Lusitânia
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Leiria - Lusitânia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.84) |
3.43 ↑
(3.42) |
4.17 ↑
(3.88) |
7.1%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leiria - Lusitânia?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Leiria will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).
- Leiria is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lusitânia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Leiria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Leiria is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Leiria will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Leiria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Lusitânia?
Leiria has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Leiria?
Lusitânia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Lusitânia were as follows:
09.11.2025
Lusitânia
-
Leiria
1:1
Latest results of Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 4 | Leiria | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Vizela | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 44 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 41 |
| 7 | Sporting CP B | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 41:30 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Porto B | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 41 |
| 9 | Feirense | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Chaves | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31:29 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Lusitania FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 38 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:50 | -15 | 38 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 35 |
| 14 | Felgueiras | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
