Result
1:0
08/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 25
- Referee: Neves G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Arsenio ⚽,
- 22', Josue Sa 🟨,
- 37', Silva J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Nel R. ↓, Anjos L. ↑,
- 48', Bruno Ramos 🟨,
- 58', Silva J. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
- 59', Fabinho ↓, Martins R. ↑,
- 63', Bruno Ramos ↓, Bafdili Z. ↑,
- 63', Moreira D. ↓, Rayan Lucas ↑,
- 63', Justo S. ↓, Tanlongo M. ↑,
- 69', Teixeira M. ↓, Mimito ↑,
- 73', Dias R. 🟨,
- 78', Couto M. 🟨,
- 81', Mendonca M. ↓, Taibo Dominguez L. ↑,
- 83', Tanlongo M. 🟨,
- 83', Arsenio 🟨,
- 84', Danny ↓, Mesquita T. ↑,
- 84', Arsenio ↓, Collard D. ↑,
- 86', Silverio 🟨,
- 90+3', Pereira M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lusitânia
35.2% | Draw
29.3% | Sporting Lisbon B
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-4%)
Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.4) |
3.12 ↑
(2.8) |
2.58 ↓
(2.9) |
9.3%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B?
Users Predictions:
Lusitânia will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lusitânia will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Sporting B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Sporting Lisbon B?
Lusitânia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon B won against Lusitânia?
Sporting Lisbon B has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B were as follows:
25.10.2025
Sporting Lisbon B
-
Lusitânia
4:0
05.04.2025
Lusitânia
-
Sporting Lisbon B
2:1
07.02.2025
Sporting Lisbon B
-
Lusitânia
1:0
Latest results of Lusitânia
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 40:32 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 45 |
| 8 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 10 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
