Leiria vs Lusitânia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
05/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
101
Corner kicks
93
Yellow cards
43
Total shots
184
Shots on target
101
Shots off target
83
Corner kicks
93
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1517
Throw ins
1418
Fouls
1315

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Marcelo 🟨,
  • 12', Daniel Borges 🟨,
  • 26', Faria B. 🟨,
  • 37', Martins R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Rocha L. 🟨,
  • 58', Faria B. , Silverio ,
  • 59', Martins R. , Silva J. ,
  • 61', Pires M. 🟨,
  • 69', Teixeira M. , Mimito ,
  • 73', Daniel Borges , Lucho Vega ,
  • 78', Rocha L. , Cerveira T. ,
  • 78', Fabinho , Tiago Dias ,
  • 81', Jair da Silva , Santos J. ,
  • 87', Fernandez P. , Sylla H. ,
  • 87', Baro M. , Silva J. ,
  • 88', Munoz J. , Gomes B. ,
  • 90', Maga 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leiria
50.5%
Draw
27.3%
Lusitânia
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 26.7% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 25.6% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Leiria - Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.84)
    3.43
    (3.42)
    4.17
    (3.88)
    7.1%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Leiria - Lusitânia?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Leiria will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).
    • Leiria is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lusitânia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Leiria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Leiria is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Leiria will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Leiria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Lusitânia were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Lusitânia - Leiria 1:1
    Latest results of Leiria
    20.03.2026 Chaves - Leiria 0:2
    15.03.2026 Leiria - Marítimo 1:2
    08.03.2026 Leixões - Leiria 1:4
    28.02.2026 Leiria - Portimonense 1:0
    Latest results of Lusitânia
    15.03.2026 Vizela - Lusitânia 4:3
    01.03.2026 Farense - Lusitânia 2:1
    22.02.2026 Lusitânia - Feirense 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo32206649:252466
    2Academico Viseu32167956:332355
    3Torreense311551137:30750
    4Leiria311310850:401049
    5Vizela321391038:36248
    6Feirense321291134:36-245
    7Benfica B3211111043:40344
    8Leixoes321351442:53-1144
    9Lusitania FC3211101142:48-643
    10FC Porto B311261337:42-542
    11Chaves321261438:37142
    12Sporting CP B321321741:33841
    13Felgueiras3110101128:35-740
    14Penafiel311081333:34-138
    15Portimonense321061637:48-1136
    16SC Farense31991327:35-836
    17Pacos Ferreira328111331:46-1535
    18Oliveirense327101531:43-1231

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