Lusitânia vs Portimonense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
07/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 13
  • Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
74
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
108
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
62
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1324
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
2310

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Cerveira T. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Silverio , Fabinho (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Tiago Dias ,
  • 56', Ze Gabriel , Edney ,
  • 64', Do Marcolino F. , Joao Vasco ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Lobato S. ,
  • 79', Arsenio , Palacios A. ,
  • 79', Tiago Dias , Teixeira M. ,
  • 84', Silverio 🟨,
  • 84', Thauan Lara , Canario F. ,
  • 84', Mateus Santos , Dauda M. ,
  • 88', Pereira M. , Platiny ,
  • 88', Silverio , Faria B. ,
  • 90+8', 2 - 2, Welinton Junior ,
  • 90+12', Heitor 🟨,
  • 90+13', 3 - 2, Platiny ,
  • 90+13', Platiny 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lusitânia
46.1%
Draw
28.5%
Portimonense
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 26.3% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 22.6% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Lusitânia - Portimonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.9)
    3.26
    (3.55)
    3.66
    (3.83)
    7.3%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
    • Recent performances by Lusitânia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Portimonense has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lusitânia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lusitânia
    30.11.2025 Porto B - Lusitânia 1:2
    23.11.2025 Lusitânia - Torreense 0:1
    09.11.2025 Lusitânia - Leiria 1:1
    29.10.2025 Lusitânia - Vizela 1:1
    Latest results of Portimonense
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo29186544:212360
    2Academico Viseu29155953:332050
    3Torreense291441136:30646
    4Leiria291210745:36946
    5Vizela29128937:34344
    6Benfica B291011841:35641
    7Sporting CP B291321441:301141
    8FC Porto B281251136:35141
    9Feirense291181032:32041
    10Chaves291161231:29239
    11Lusitania FC281081037:44-738
    12Leixoes291151335:50-1538
    13Penafiel29981228:30-235
    14Felgueiras298101125:34-934
    15SC Farense29881325:35-1032
    16Pacos Ferreira297111126:39-1332
    17Portimonense29861531:42-1130
    18Oliveirense29691427:41-1427

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3