Lusitânia vs Portimonense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
07/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 13
  • Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
74
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
108
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
62
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1324
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
2310

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Cerveira T. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Silverio , Fabinho (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Tiago Dias ,
  • 56', Ze Gabriel , Edney ,
  • 64', Do Marcolino F. , Joao Vasco ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Lobato S. ,
  • 79', Arsenio , Palacios A. ,
  • 79', Tiago Dias , Teixeira M. ,
  • 84', Silverio 🟨,
  • 84', Thauan Lara , Canario F. ,
  • 84', Mateus Santos , Dauda M. ,
  • 88', Pereira M. , Platiny ,
  • 88', Silverio , Faria B. ,
  • 90+8', 2 - 2, Welinton Junior ,
  • 90+12', Heitor 🟨,
  • 90+13', 3 - 2, Platiny ,
  • 90+13', Platiny 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lusitânia
46.1%
Draw
28.5%
Portimonense
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 26.3% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 22.6% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Lusitânia - Portimonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.9)
    3.26
    (3.55)
    3.66
    (3.83)
    7.3%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
    • Recent performances by Lusitânia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Portimonense has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lusitânia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lusitânia
    30.11.2025 Porto B - Lusitânia 1:2
    23.11.2025 Lusitânia - Torreense 0:1
    09.11.2025 Lusitânia - Leiria 1:1
    29.10.2025 Lusitânia - Vizela 1:1
    Latest results of Portimonense
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo27175543:212256
    2Academico Viseu27155750:282250
    3Torreense271431035:27845
    4Vizela27128736:31544
    5Leiria26118741:34741
    6Sporting CP B271321239:261341
    7FC Porto B271151133:35-238
    8Lusitania FC271071037:44-737
    9Benfica B27910837:32537
    10Chaves271061129:26336
    11Feirense27981030:32-235
    12Leixoes271041332:49-1734
    13Felgueiras27791124:34-1030
    14Pacos Ferreira26791026:37-1130
    15Penafiel27781222:26-429
    16SC Farense27781223:33-1029
    17Portimonense27761429:40-1127
    18Oliveirense27691226:37-1127

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3