Lusitânia vs Portimonense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
07/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 13
  • Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
74
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
108
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
62
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1324
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
2310

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Cerveira T. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Silverio , Fabinho (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Tiago Dias ,
  • 56', Ze Gabriel , Edney ,
  • 64', Do Marcolino F. , Joao Vasco ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Lobato S. ,
  • 79', Arsenio , Palacios A. ,
  • 79', Tiago Dias , Teixeira M. ,
  • 84', Silverio 🟨,
  • 84', Thauan Lara , Canario F. ,
  • 84', Mateus Santos , Dauda M. ,
  • 88', Pereira M. , Platiny ,
  • 88', Silverio , Faria B. ,
  • 90+8', 2 - 2, Welinton Junior ,
  • 90+12', Heitor 🟨,
  • 90+13', 3 - 2, Platiny ,
  • 90+13', Platiny 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lusitânia
46.1%
Draw
28.5%
Portimonense
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 26.3% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 22.6% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Lusitânia - Portimonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.9)
    3.26
    (3.55)
    3.66
    (3.83)
    7.3%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
    • Recent performances by Lusitânia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Portimonense has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lusitânia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lusitânia
    30.11.2025 Porto B - Lusitânia 1:2
    23.11.2025 Lusitânia - Torreense 0:1
    09.11.2025 Lusitânia - Leiria 1:1
    29.10.2025 Lusitânia - Vizela 1:1
    Latest results of Portimonense
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo24145538:191947
    2Academico Viseu24135644:261844
    3Sporting CP B241221037:231438
    4FC Porto B24114931:31037
    5Torreense241131028:27136
    6Leiria2398634:31335
    7Vizela2498730:28235
    8Lusitania FC2497833:37-434
    9Feirense2488828:27132
    10Benfica B24710733:31231
    11Leixoes24941127:40-1331
    12Chaves24861027:24330
    13Felgueiras2478924:30-629
    14Penafiel24771021:23-228
    15SC Farense24761122:31-927
    16Oliveirense24681026:33-726
    17Pacos Ferreira2359920:32-1224
    18Portimonense24661225:35-1024

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3