Trofense vs Lusitânia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Trofense - Lusitânia
Result
0:1
26/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
510
Shots on Goal
15
Shots off Goal
45
Corner Kicks
56
Goalkeeper Saves
41
Yellow Cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Nhayson , Oliveira J. ,
  • 67', Joel , Ramalho A. ,
  • 68', Valente N. , Saldanha F. ,
  • 72', Renato Luis , Ribeiro S. ,
  • 72', Joao Vasco , Pereira D. ,
  • 75', Ayiah E. , Carlos ,
  • 75', Duarte D. , Reko Silva ,
  • 80', Saldanha F. 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 1, Ribeiro S. ,

Chances of winning


Trofense
44.2%
Draw
30.5%
Lusitânia
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 30.6% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 31.9% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Trofense - Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.25)
    3.01
    (3)
    3.62
    (3.2)
    9.1%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Trofense - Lusitânia?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lusitânia will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
    • Lusitânia is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
    • Recent matches Trofense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Lusitânia in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Trofense will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Lusitânia were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Lusitânia - Trofense 2:1
    06.01.2024 Trofense - Lusitânia 1:3
    16.09.2023 Lusitânia - Trofense 1:1
    Latest results of Trofense
    18.01.2025 Varzim - Trofense 2:1
    12.01.2025 Trofense - Anadia 3:0
    14.12.2024 Trofense - Fafe 3:2
    07.12.2024 Trofense - Sanjoanense 3:2
    Latest results of Lusitânia
    18.01.2025 Lusitânia - Sanjoanense 1:0
    12.01.2025 Vilaverdense - Lusitânia 0:2
    04.01.2025 Lusitânia - Amarante 1:0
    15.12.2024 Braga B - Lusitânia 1:2
    07.12.2024 Fafe - Lusitânia 1:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B32012:206
    2Varzim32015:146
    3Trofense31202:025
    4Sanjoanense21102:024
    5Amarante21013:303
    6AD Marco 0920200:002
    7Paredes30211:2-12
    8Vitoria Guimaraes B20112:3-11
    9AD Fafe20111:3-21
    10Sao Joao Ver20110:4-41


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    11u00ba Dezembro32103:127
    2Os Belenenses32103:127
    3Caldas22003:126
    4Santarem31112:204
    5Amora31111:104
    6Lusitano GC31024:313
    7Academica21012:203
    8Covilha30122:4-21
    9Mafra20112:5-31
    10Atletico CP20020:2-20

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )