Result
0:1
26/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Nhayson ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
- 67', Joel ↓, Ramalho A. ↑,
- 68', Valente N. ↓, Saldanha F. ↑,
- 72', Renato Luis ↓, Ribeiro S. ↑,
- 72', Joao Vasco ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
- 75', Ayiah E. ↓, Carlos ↑,
- 75', Duarte D. ↓, Reko Silva ↑,
- 80', Saldanha F. 🟨,
- 88', 0 - 1, Ribeiro S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Trofense
44.2% | Draw
30.5% | Lusitânia
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Trofense - Lusitânia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.25) |
3.01 ↑
(3) |
3.62 ↑
(3.2) |
9.1%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Trofense - Lusitânia?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lusitânia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
- Lusitânia is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
- Recent matches Trofense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Lusitânia in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Trofense will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Lusitânia?
Trofense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Trofense?
Lusitânia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Lusitânia were as follows:
27.10.2024
Lusitânia
-
Trofense
2:1
06.01.2024
Trofense
-
Lusitânia
1:3
16.09.2023
Lusitânia
-
Trofense
1:1
Latest results of Trofense
Latest results of Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Braga B | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Trofense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Varzim | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Paredes | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Amarante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
| 10 | AD Fafe | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 3 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Academica | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Amora | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Atletico CP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Mafra | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Covilha | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
