Result
0:1
18/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Franca F. 🟨,
- 42', Rego R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lopes L. ↓, Roka ↑,
- 46', Feliz ↓, Lobo G. ↑,
- 46', Reko Silva ↓, Joel ↑,
- 47', Filipe L. 🟨,
- 59', Roka 🟨,
- 65', Benchi D. ↓, Rebelo M. ↑,
- 65', Gunjo J. ↓, Sequeira D. ↑,
- 68', Diagne O. 🟨,
- 68', Nuninho ↓, Vieira A. ↑,
- 70', Roka 🟨,
- 73', Franca F. ↓, Boloto ↑,
- 79', Diarra M. ↓, Paciencia V. ↑,
- 82', Oliveira R. ↓, Chamito ↑,
- 82', Pedro Clemente ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
- 88', Paciencia V. 🟨,
- 90+6', Chicao 🟨,
- 90+6', Silva N. 🟨,
- 90+9', 0 - 1, Chamito (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Trofense
40.4% | Draw
29.8% | Varzim
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trofense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Trofense - Varzim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.37) |
3.07 ↑
(2.93) |
3.08 ↑
(2.97) |
9.2%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 3.
- In recent matches, Trofense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Varzim is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Varzim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trofense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Varzim?
Trofense has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Trofense?
Varzim has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Varzim were as follows:
21.02.2026
Varzim
-
Trofense
2:0
20.12.2025
Varzim
-
Trofense
0:1
11.10.2025
Trofense
-
Varzim
2:1
30.08.2025
Trofense
-
Varzim
5:1
18.01.2025
Varzim
-
Trofense
2:1
Latest results of Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Academica | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Mafra | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 16 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Varzim | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 13 |
| 7 | Santarem | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 8 | Trofense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
