Mafra vs Lusitano GC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
30/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
37
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
118
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', 🟨,
  • 37', Aguas M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Moreira R. , Goncalves V. ,
  • 59', Neves L. , Iheanacho S. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Iheanacho S. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Almara F. , Pinto J. (A),
  • 72', Baptista T. , Gomes A. ,
  • 73', Pinto J. 🟨,
  • 76', Pinto R. , Andrey ,
  • 78', Lopes D. , Isnaba G. ,
  • 81', Almara F. 🟨,
  • 88', Lima T. , Monteiro R. ,
  • 88', Almara F. , Sonhi Y. ,

Chances of winning


Mafra
39.8%
Draw
29.7%
Lusitano GC
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 29.9% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 29.4% 24.9%

Mafra - Lusitano GC Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.33
(2.04)
3.13
(3.05)
3.04
(3.61)
7.7%
(9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mafra - Lusitano GC?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mafra (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Mafra is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lusitano GC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lusitano GC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Mafra will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mafra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Lusitano GC were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Lusitano GC - Mafra 4:1
    Latest results of Mafra
    09.11.2025 Belenenses - Mafra 2:1
    02.11.2025 Mafra - Atlético CP 1:0
    11.10.2025 Mafra - Amora 2:0
    05.10.2025 Mafra - 1 Dezembro 3:1
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amarante ✔ 1784518:16228
    2Trofense1776422:14827
    3Vitoria Guimaraes B1775517:14326
    4Varzim1767423:16725
    5Paredes1759320:11924
    6Braga B1766514:15-124
    7AD Fafe1765621:19223
    8AD Marco 09 ✔ 1747614:19-519
    9Sao Joao Ver ✔ 1728710:24-1414
    10Sanjoanense ✔ 1727818:29-1113


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Os Belenenses ✔ 17122326:141238
    2Mafra ✔ 1787226:18831
    3Academica1777329:171228
    4Santarem1757513:13022
    5Atletico CP1764715:15022
    6Lusitano GC1763818:18021
    7Amora1746717:22-518
    8Caldas ✔ 1753916:23-718
    91u00ba Dezembro ✔ 1737712:20-816
    10Covilha ✔ 1728710:22-1214

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Amarante is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
    AD Marco 09 is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    Sao Joao Ver is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    Os Belenenses is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
    Mafra is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
    Caldas is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    1u00ba Dezembro is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    Covilha is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )