Result
1:1
30/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', 🟨,
- 37', Aguas M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Moreira R. ↓, Goncalves V. ↑,
- 59', Neves L. ↓, Iheanacho S. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Iheanacho S. ⚽,
- 70', 1 - 1, Almara F. ⚽, Pinto J. (A),
- 72', Baptista T. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
- 73', Pinto J. 🟨,
- 76', Pinto R. ↓, Andrey ↑,
- 78', Lopes D. ↓, Isnaba G. ↑,
- 81', Almara F. 🟨,
- 88', Lima T. ↓, Monteiro R. ↑,
- 88', Almara F. ↓, Sonhi Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mafra
39.8% | Draw
29.7% | Lusitano GC
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lusitano GC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mafra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lusitano GC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mafra - Lusitano GC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.04) |
3.13 ↑
(3.05) |
3.04 ↓
(3.61) |
7.7%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mafra - Lusitano GC?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mafra (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- Mafra is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lusitano GC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lusitano GC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Mafra will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mafra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Lusitano GC?
Mafra has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitano GC won against Mafra?
Lusitano GC has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Lusitano GC were as follows:
17.08.2025
Lusitano GC
-
Mafra
4:1
Latest results of Lusitano GC
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Academica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Amarante | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
