Lusitano GC vs Serpa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Lusitano GC - Serpa
Result
3:2
02/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Lopes G. , Mendes L. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Davou S. ,
  • 27', 1 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 2, ,
  • 62', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Lusitano GC
60.1%
Draw
24.6%
Serpa
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 26% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 26.4% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lusitano GC's performance.
  • Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Serpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lusitano GC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lusitano GC - Serpa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.72)
    3.7
    (3.48)
    5.93
    (4.24)
    10%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitano GC - Serpa were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Serpa - Lusitano GC 0:0
    09.03.2024 Serpa - Lusitano GC 0:0
    12.11.2023 Lusitano GC - Serpa 0:1
    19.03.2023 Serpa - Lusitano GC 2:2
    04.12.2022 Lusitano GC - Serpa 2:1
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    19.01.2025 Lusitano GC - Amora 0:1
    15.01.2025 Braga - Lusitano GC 2:1
    11.01.2025 Lagoa - Lusitano GC 3:1
    15.12.2024 Lusitano GC - Sintrense 2:0
    Latest results of Serpa
    26.01.2025 Serpa - Barreirense 2:1
    19.01.2025 Serpa - Moura 2:0
    12.01.2025 Amora - Serpa 2:1
    05.01.2025 Lagoa - Serpa 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Lusitano GCVitoria Guimaraes B2 : 1