Result
0:1
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 42
- Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | Net4+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (290/395) | 63% (181/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (290/395) | 63% (181/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (23/55) | 25% (16/65) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 74% (150/204) | 55% (62/113) |
| Crosses |
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| 13% (4/30) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
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| 50% (5/10) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
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| 67 | 53 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 10 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
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| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.80 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.20 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Travis L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Montgomery K. 🟨,
- 52', 0 - 1, Ohashi Y. ⚽, Hedges R. (A),
- 56', Makosso C. ↓, Mengi T. ↑,
- 56', Jones I. ↓, Burke R. ↑,
- 56', Chong T. ↓, Bowler J. ↑,
- 58', Montgomery K. 🟨,
- 61', Cantwell T. ↓, Sanderson D. ↑,
- 66', Hedges R. ↓, Forshaw A. ↑,
- 67', Dolan T. 🟨,
- 73', Walsh L. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
- 73', Mengi T. 🟨,
- 78', Ohashi Y. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
- 85', Morris C. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 86', Toth B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
51.1% | Draw
27.9% | Blackburn Rovers
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luton Town's performance.Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blackburn Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luton Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blackburn Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Luton Town - Blackburn Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.14) |
3.41 ↑
(3.39) |
4.54 ↑
(3.35) |
5.5%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Blackburn Rovers?
Users Predictions:
Luton Town will win
(73 of 76 users predict this - 96.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.67% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luton Town will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 1.
- Luton is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Blackburn has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Blackburn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Luton is a favorite.
- There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Muscle Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Nakamba M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Blackburn: Beck O.
(Hamstring Injury)
Brittain C.
(Calf Injury)
Carter H.
(Calf Injury)
Dennis E.
(Injury)
Kargbo A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Leonard H.
(Injury)
Weimann A.
(Knee Injury)
Wharton S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Doughty A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Blackburn: Rankin-Costello J.
(Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Luton won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Blackburn Rovers?
Luton Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Blackburn Rovers won against Luton Town?
Blackburn Rovers has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Blackburn Rovers were as follows:
14.12.2024
Blackburn Rovers
-
Luton Town
2:0
01.05.2023
Blackburn Rovers
-
Luton Town
1:1
17.09.2022
Luton Town
-
Blackburn Rovers
2:0
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 34:9 | 25 | 28 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Millwall | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Charlton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Preston | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Hull | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Leicester | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | West Brom | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
| 13 | Swansea | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Watford | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Derby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 19 | Oxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 20 | Southampton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 10 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 |
| 23 | Norwich | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:18 | -6 | 8 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
