Luton Town vs Blackburn Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Luton Town - Blackburn Rovers
Result
0:1
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 42
  • Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.40
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
73% (290/395)63% (181/286)
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.80
Total shots
184
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
111
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
110
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
337
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
137
Passes
73% (290/395)63% (181/286)
Long passes
42% (23/55)25% (16/65)
Passes in final third
74% (150/204)55% (62/113)
Crosses
13% (4/30)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.32
Fouls
713
Tackles
50% (5/10)85% (11/13)
Duels won
6753
Clearances Total
1046
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.800.27
Goals prevented
-0.200.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Travis L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', Montgomery K. 🟨,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Ohashi Y. , Hedges R. (A),
  • 56', Makosso C. , Mengi T. ,
  • 56', Jones I. , Burke R. ,
  • 56', Chong T. , Bowler J. ,
  • 58', Montgomery K. 🟨,
  • 61', Cantwell T. , Sanderson D. ,
  • 66', Hedges R. , Forshaw A. ,
  • 67', Dolan T. 🟨,
  • 73', Walsh L. , Nordas L. ,
  • 73', Mengi T. 🟨,
  • 78', Ohashi Y. , Gueye M. ,
  • 85', Morris C. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 86', Toth B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
51.1%
Draw
27.9%
Blackburn Rovers
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 27.8% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 28.5% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luton Town's performance.
  • Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blackburn Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luton Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blackburn Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luton Town - Blackburn Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.14)
    3.41
    (3.39)
    4.54
    (3.35)
    5.5%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Luton Town - Blackburn Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: Luton Town will win (73 of 76 users predict this - 96.05%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 91.67%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luton Town will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 1.
    • Luton is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Blackburn has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Blackburn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Luton is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S. (Muscle Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Nakamba M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Blackburn: Beck O. (Hamstring Injury) Brittain C. (Calf Injury) Carter H. (Calf Injury) Dennis E. (Injury) Kargbo A. (Hamstring Injury) Leonard H. (Injury) Weimann A. (Knee Injury) Wharton S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Doughty A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Blackburn: Rankin-Costello J. (Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Luton won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Blackburn Rovers were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Blackburn Rovers - Luton Town 2:0
    01.05.2023 Blackburn Rovers - Luton Town 1:1
    17.09.2022 Luton Town - Blackburn Rovers 2:0
    Latest results of Luton Town
    08.04.2025 Stoke City - Luton Town 1:1
    05.04.2025 Luton Town - Leeds United 1:1
    29.03.2025 Hull City - Luton Town 0:1
    15.03.2025 Luton Town - Middlesbrough 0:0
    11.03.2025 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2
    Latest results of Blackburn Rovers
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1284034:92528
    2Middlesbrough1274116:8825
    3Millwall1272314:13123
    4Bristol City1264220:11922
    5Stoke1263313:8521
    6Charlton1254314:10419
    7Preston1254315:12319
    8Hull1254320:20019
    9QPR1253415:17-218
    10Leicester1245315:12317
    11West Brom1252512:14-217
    12Ipswich1144317:13416
    13Swansea1244412:12016
    14Watford1243514:16-215
    15Birmingham1243511:15-415
    16Wrexham1235416:17-114
    17Derby1235413:16-314
    18Portsmouth1234510:13-313
    19Oxford Utd1233613:15-212
    20Southampton1226413:17-412
    21Blackburn1131710:17-710
    22Sheffield Utd123099:20-119
    23Norwich1222812:18-68
    24Sheffield Wed1213810:25-15-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One