Luton Town vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Luton Town - Millwall
Result
0:1
25/01/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 29
  • Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.42
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1213
Shots on Goal
26
Shots off Goal
62
Blocked Shots
45
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
75
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
07
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Free Kicks
1911
Offsides
32
Fouls
1119
Yellow Cards
24
Throw-ins
2729
Touches in the Opposition Box
2423
Passes
61% (194/316)63% (163/259)
Passes in the final third
54% (71/132)50% (55/110)
Crosses
37% (7/19)29% (4/14)
Tackles
59% (19/32)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
3054
Interceptions
413

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Scanlon C. , Connolly A. ,
  • 34', Connolly A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Krauss T. , Adebayo E. ,
  • 61', 0 - 1, Ivanovic M. , Bangura-Williams R. (A),
  • 68', Brown J. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 68', Doughty A. , Jones I. ,
  • 71', Saville G. 🟨,
  • 74', Andersen M. 🟨,
  • 74', Cooper J. 🟨,
  • 76', Nakamba M. , Walsh L. ,
  • 84', Watmore D. , Honeyman G. ,
  • 88', Honeyman G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Jensen L. , Roberts L. ,
  • 90+7', Tanganga J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Walsh L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
42.7%
Draw
31.3%
Millwall
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 28.5% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 28.6% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Luton Town - Millwall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.31)
    3.04
    (3.32)
    3.65
    (3.11)
    5.2%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Luton Town - Millwall?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Millwall will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 39.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 19.2%59%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 2.
    • Luton has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Millwall is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently Millwall have a series of home games.
    • Luton will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S. (Calf Injury) Burke R. (Hip Injury) Chong T. (Muscle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Millwall: Coburn J. (Broken Leg) Emakhu A. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: Bangura-Williams R. (Injury) Leonard R. (Injury) McNamara D. (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Luton won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Millwall were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Millwall - Luton Town 0:1
    07.04.2023 Millwall - Luton Town 0:0
    28.02.2023 Luton Town - Millwall 2:2
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Latest results of Millwall
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough853012:5718
    2Coventry844022:71516
    3Stoke842210:5514
    4West Brom84229:7214
    5Bristol City834114:8613
    6Leicester834110:7313
    7Preston83419:7213
    8Swansea83329:7212
    9Charlton83328:6212
    10QPR833211:13-212
    11Birmingham83237:10-311
    12Millwall83236:12-611
    13Ipswich724112:7510
    14Southampton824210:11-110
    15Wrexham823313:14-19
    16Watford82339:10-19
    17Portsmouth82337:9-29
    18Hull823313:16-39
    19Norwich822410:11-18
    20Derby814310:14-47
    21Oxford Utd81349:11-26
    22Blackburn72056:10-46
    23Sheffield Wed81348:15-76
    24Sheffield Utd81073:15-123

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One