Millwall vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 28
  • Referee: Davies A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 4
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.11
Ball Possession
42%58%
Goal Attempts
713
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
26
Blocked Shots
22
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
42
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Free Kicks
1110
Offsides
23
Fouls
1011
Throw-ins
2427
Touches in the Opposition Box
1319
Passes
64% (203/315)71% (318/448)
Passes in the final third
56% (61/109)64% (94/147)
Crosses
24% (4/17)21% (3/14)
Tackles
56% (15/27)38% (12/32)
Clearances Total
2518
Interceptions
188

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Scanlon C. ,
  • 19', 2 - 0, De Norre C. , Bangura-Williams R. (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Willock C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Siopis M. , Ng P. ,
  • 59', Leonard R. , McNamara D. ,
  • 63', McNamara D. , Crama T. ,
  • 64', Bangura-Williams R. , Ivanovic M. ,
  • 70', Meite Y. , Salech Y. ,
  • 70', Colwill R. , Ashford C. ,
  • 78', Willock C. , El Ghazi A. ,
  • 78', Watmore D. , Mitchell B. ,
  • 78', Scanlon C. , Honeyman G. ,
  • 78', Daland J. , Fish W. ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Salech Y. , Ng P. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Millwall
41.7%
Draw
33.2%
Cardiff City
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 28% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 29.8% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millwall's form might have worsened.
  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millwall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Millwall - Cardiff City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.95)
    2.87
    (3.37)
    3.77
    (4.05)
    5.3%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Millwall - Cardiff City?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Cardiff will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 21.2%57.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 17 and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 3.
    • Recent matches Millwall is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cardiff is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cardiff could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Millwall will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Coburn J. (Broken Leg) Emakhu A. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I. (Leg Injury) Ramsey A. (Muscle Injury) Reindorf M. (Ankle Injury) Riza O. (Red Card) Turnbull D. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Millwall won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16:16 (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Cardiff City were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Cardiff City - Millwall 1:0
    13.04.2024 Millwall - Cardiff City 3:1
    09.12.2023 Cardiff City - Millwall 1:0
    21.01.2023 Cardiff City - Millwall 0:1
    03.09.2022 Millwall - Cardiff City 2:0
    Latest results of Millwall
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

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